Wednesday, July 31, 2013

Entire Positions I'm Not Drafting (On ALL 32 Teams)

Last Saturday, I finally made it over to Redskins Training Camp, and I was not disappointed.  I got to see the new facility here in Richmond and all of the players during their morning walkthrough.  I witnessed fans roaring to a visor-wearing Kirk Cousins hitting Aldrick Robinson on a deep route (with little to no defense).  I saw RGIII and Darrell Young getting hyped on the sideline with some high, low, and middle high-fiving routine that I couldn't replicate if I had all day to practice it myself.  But the coolest thing that morning was when the countdown clock hit all zeros and the players came to the far endzone to sign a few autographs and invite kids to go on the field with them.  We happened to be standing right there when RGIII, Alfred Morris, and a few 300+ pounders came our way (pictured).  I have to admit, it made me feel like a kid again too.


It also has my vision blurred when I update my rankings and write these articles.  As you'll see below, I'm going to have a hard time writing anything negative about the Redskins, especially when it comes to the offensive side of the ball.  Seeing these guys in person during a time when anything and everything is possible is clouding my judgement, and I fully acknowledge that fact.  So maybe take it with a grain of salt when I say that there's not a position I wouldn't draft on MY team (except for the team defense, which is my only worry...at least for right now).  As for all of the other teams in the NFL, I'm going to give you a position on each that I'm probably not drafting this year.  Some of these are easy, and some are not.  Some positions I'm flat out avoiding, while others I just feel that players will be going too high in drafts for me (and thus, I won't end up with them).  I tried to stay away from the obvious choices, but in some cases that wasn't possible.  Bear with me.  This is a long one...

Arizona Cardinals
QB: I like Palmer to improve the numbers of his receivers (including tight ends), but I don’t see him throwing 30 TDs, and he’ll probably throw 20 picks.  There are just too many QBs ahead of him who you can draft to be your starter, and I typically only draft one QB.  I think he'll be a waiver wire fill-in for multiple teams in my league (and yours).

Atlanta Falcons
I want YOU...to draft me!
K: Sorry to jump to this position so quickly, but it's hard to knock any of the Dirty Birds.  I wait until the very last round to draft a kicker, but someone will probably draft Matt Bryant earlier than that.  He’s a good kicker on a good team, but no kicker is worth taking earlier than the last round of a fantasy draft.

Baltimore Ravens
WR: I like Torrey Smith a lot, and I think he’ll have a big year (maybe even more so now that Pitta is out).  I think he could finally break the 1000 yard mark, and he’ll probably haul in 8-10 TDs.  That being said, I think other people have that expectation as well, so he’ll probably go earlier than I want to take him in my draft.  And aside from Smith, I’m not looking at any other receivers in Baltimore.

Buffalo Bills
WR or TE: With E.J. Manuel most likely starting in Buffalo, I doubt I’ll be taking any pass catchers there.  Steve Johnson broke his back in the offseason, and the #2 WR is probably going to be rookie Robert Woods.  I don’t trust anyone to consistently get the ball for the Bills, other than C.J. Spiller.

Carolina Panthers
RB: This is an easy one.  Last year I warned you not to take any Carolina running backs, and this season is no different.  Jonathan Stewart is already on the PUP list due to his ankles.  I mean, the guy withdrew from a golf tournament a couple weeks ago.  That's not a good sign.  DeAngelo Williams is on the wrong side of 30, and with Cam Newton getting most of the yards on the ground, I’m just not taking a Panther RB.

Chicago Bears
QB: Seriously?  Why is Jay Cutler still ranked in the top 20 fantasy QBs?  In the last three seasons, he’s averaging about 3000 yards and 20 TDs a year.  Why does that get anyone excited about drafting him?  I think having him ranked ahead of guys like Josh Freeman and Sam Bradford is just insane, and I’ll probably never draft Cutler in any draft…ever. 

Cincinnati Bengals
TE: I like Andy Dalton a lot, but I don’t know which one of his tight ends he’s going to like a lot this year.  The Bengals snagged Tyler Eifert in the first round of the 2013 draft, and I’m sure they intend to use him.  Gresham is still a solid player, but I just don’t trust either of them to have big numbers this year.  I think they’ll both produce, but at average levels.


Cleveland Browns
WR: I could say QB too, but that’s too obvious.  I think Jordan Cameron is a sneaky late round sleeper with Weeden still developing, but I’m not taking any Browns WR this year.  Josh Gordon has the most talent, but he’s suspended to start the season, and I’m betting he’ll miss more time for one reason or another in 2013.

Dallas Cowboys
RB: This isn't to say that DeMarco Murray isn't draftable because of course he is.  I just don’t want to pay a high price tag for a guy who has been injured as much and produced at about the same level as a Ryan Mathews (who is going much later in drafts).  I think Murray could have a breakout season, but I also think he could be sidelined with an injury and rookie Joseph Randle could get a chance to shine.  All of this to say that most likely I won’t be drafting any Cowboys running back this year, and I probably need to adjust my rankings even further.

Denver Broncos
TE: The Broncos brought in Wes Welker in the offseason as another weapon for Manning (as if he needed it).  Peyton didn't pad his tight end’s numbers last year, so I don’t see him doing that with any one of his tight ends this year either (especially with the addition of Welker).  It's that simple.

He'll probably catch this many TDs, but on someone else's fantasy team.
Detroit Lions
WR: Don’t draft ANY Lions wide receiver!  (I jus keeeedding.)  Of course Megatron is the easy pick for #1 overall WR, but he won’t end up on my team this year.  I have a top 6 (lottery) pick in my league’s draft, and I’ll be using that pick on a running back.  Needless to say, the top WR in the league won’t be there in Round 2 for me.  In fact, I think it’s likely he’ll go in the first 6 picks (just not to me).  I could see drafting Ryan Broyles in the later rounds, but I’m sure there will be other guys I’m interested in more than him at that point in my draft.

Green Bay Packers
K: Yeah I went there again.  I mean, I thought about going RB, but I think it’s very likely I end up with one of the Packer rookies if the timing is right in my draft.  But the only Green Bay position I won’t be drafting is kicker.  It’s a high powered offense, so the kicker should get plenty of points.  But Crosby’s numbers have been kind of all over the place, and his accuracy last year was only 64%.  That’s pretty horrible.  Combine that with bad weather games, and he quickly becomes a guy who’s not even on my radar in the last round.

Houston Texans
TE: Owen Daniels has never impressed me enough to draft him in any league I've ever been in.  He’ll probably have a solid year, and I currently have him ranked as my #10 TE.  But the odds are I’ll get one of my guys I have ranked above him.  And if I don’t, I might actually reconsider taking tight end until the very end.  I’d rather let someone else take him and I’ll take a risk on someone like a Fred Davis or Rob Housler much later.

Indianapolis Colts
TE: Other than defense, this is the only Colt position I can say I won’t be considering in any draft I do this year.  I've already written about how much I like Luck.  I doubt I’ll end up with Bradshaw, but I love Ballard (especially where he’s going in drafts).  And I think you can find value in any of the top 3 Indy WRs, depending on what round you can get them in.  But tight end is tricky.  This is similar to what I already wrote about Manning and the Broncos, which is pretty ironic.  The Colts drafted two TEs in the first three rounds of the 2012 draft, and neither stood out last year.  Maybe one of them will step up this year, but your guess is as good as mine as to which one that'll be.

Jacksonville Jaguars
QB: I actually like MJD and Cecil Shorts quite a bit this season.  I think they’ll both have good years despite their quarterback.  I don’t know that anyone else on the team will produce much though.  Needless to say, whoever the starting QB in Jacksonville is, I won’t be considering him on draft day.

Kansas City Chiefs
QB: This is another easy one.  See also Jaguars, Jacksonville (replace MJD and Cecil Shorts with Jamaal Charles and Dwayne Bowe).

Ryan, a little to the left...little more...
Miami Dolphins
QB: I’m noticing a trend here with these weak AFC teams.  I think Tannehill will improve on his rookie numbers, but not much.  I could see him having a great camp/preseason, look good with Hartline and newly acquired Mike Wallace, and become a sexy sleeper pick at QB.  I won't be buying it though.  I don’t think he’ll make a huge jump in 2013. 

Minnesota Vikings
WR: Well I’m obviously not taking Ponder at QB, but I don’t think I’ll end up drafting any of his receivers either.  Cordarrelle Patterson is interesting in a keeper league, but only if the Vikings go to Matt Cassell mid-year or make a move in the offseason.  Greg Jennings will suffer without a QB named Favre or Rodgers, and I wouldn't be surprised to see him battling injuries again anyway.  I won’t be looking too much to the Vikings for WR help.

New England Patriots
TE: When it comes to drafting a fantasy football team, you can’t ignore the Patriots, but there are still a lot of question marks around the tight end position.  If Gronk looks like he’ll be starting Week 1 of the regular season, he might move up even more in my rankings.  But he’ll do the same in everyone else’s, and someone might be crazy enough to use a 1st or 2nd round pick on him if he looks healthy.  That’ll be too rich for my blood, and I don’t trust anyone behind him in the depth chart even if Gronk starts the year on the PUP List.

New Orleans Saints
RB: If you've read any of my articles, you know my disdain for Pierre Thomas, so I won’t re-hash any of that.  I owned Mark Ingram for a while last year, but he didn't do much in the first half of the year, so I ended up waiving him.  He did better in the latter part of the season, but I don’t know if I can trust him for another year.  Meanwhile, Sproles turned 30 last month, and his rushing attempts are on the decline.  He’ll still be viable in the passing game, but I’m not sure I want to rely on him breaking 7 or 8 TDs on screen passes.  The Saints backfield is like kryptonite to me though.  I've owned Thomas and Ingram in the past, so maybe I’ll end up with Sproles this season…but I hope not!

New York Giants
You go that way, and I'll just throw to Cruz.
TE: If you want a guy to get you 600 yards and 5 or 6 TDs this year, then Brandon Myers is your guy.  If you take a look at past tight ends Eli has had, that’s pretty much what they've done.  Martellus Bennett, Kevin Boss, Jake Ballard…the story is the same with all of them.  Yes, Myers had a career year in Oakland in 2012, but I don’t think he’ll get close to 100 targets in a Giants uniform.  Eli has better options on the outside to throw to.  Myers is no sleeper of mine.

New York Jets
WR: Really I could have gone with just about anything here.  Aside from Chris Ivory, I don’t want ANY Jets on my team.  And even Ivory has injury concerns.  I don’t trust either QB to put up decent numbers, and I don’t think either one will get the ball to WRs and TEs on any sort of consistent basis.  If I had to take a receiver, I’d probably take Kerley.  But I think he’ll probably have three or four OK games this year.  The same could probably be said for Hill at season’s end.  Bottom line is this: I’m not drafting a Jet unless I can get Ivory for a decent price.

Oakland Raiders
QB:  I’ll just keep it simple with the Raiders and say I won’t draft an Oakland QB.  I know that’s a cop-out, but I’m using my mulligan here.  I could see myself drafting McFadden and maybe even Denarius Moore late.  Heck, I might draft Rashad Jennings toward the end of my draft, knowing McFadden will get injured at some point this season.  I feel like TE would have been easy here too because I don’t know any of those names on their roster, but I’ll keep it simple with QB.

Philadelphia Eagles
TE: Same reasoning with the Bengals.  The Eagles got Ertz in the first round of the draft for a reason.  I wouldn't take him or Celek this season.  In fact, I may not end up with any Philly pass catchers this year.  LeSean McCoy should get a ton of looks and touches in Chip Kelly’s offense, but I’m just not sure about the receiving corps just yet (especially after the injury to Maclin).

Sure I'll start Bell.  *wink*
Pittsburgh Steelers
RB: The experts all have Le’Veon Bell ranked like he’ll be the starting tailback in Week 1, but I’m not so sure.  The Steelers re-signed Isaac Redman, and Dwyer looked decent at times last year.  They also got Stephens-Howling in the offseason.  I think there are too many average RBs in Pittsburgh for me to use a high pick on the rookie, or even a late pick on any of the others.  I just wouldn't know which backup to even take at this point!

San Diego Chargers
TE: I’d like to say RB here, but I’ll probably end up with Mathews as one of my keepers this year.  Cam Newton is my other one, but #2 is coming down to Mathews or Cecil Shorts.  With RBs in shorter supply, I’ll probably stick with the Charger.  That being said, I obviously had him last year, but I also had Rivers and Gates.  I don’t know what I was thinking with so many Chargers, but I won’t be drafting Gates again.  I think he’s well over the hill in NFL terms, and even if he has one last good season, I don’t want any part of taking that chance.

Seattle Seahawks
QB: Tight end would be easy here, but I’m going to change it up.  Even though he beat my Redskins last year in the playoffs, I love Russell Wilson.  But I don’t love him as much as other people apparently do in the fantasy world.  As I've mentioned in other articles, QB is deep this year.  But most experts have Wilson one or two rounds earlier than I’d most likely be drafting him, so for that reason I don’t think I’ll end up with him this year.

San Francisco 49ers
WR: The same goes for Kaepernick as with Wilson, but let’s go WR here.  I guess it’s possible I could draft Boldin, but he doesn't excite me too much.  If he falls far enough, I could end up with him, but I doubt it.  There are a few names on the 49ers roster that I’m just not familiar with, and lots of them are receivers.  I don’t see myself with any of those guys this season.

St. Louis Rams
I'm...not...DRAFTING YOU!
ALL but DEF & K: That sounds harsh, but I would be SHOCKED if I end up with any Rams players on the offensive side of the ball on any fantasy team of mine this year.  OK, maybe Greg the Leg…but kickers don’t count!  Sam Bradford is a perennial sexy sleeper, so he’ll surely go higher than I’d consider taking him.  The RB situation is an unknown right now, so I don’t see myself with any of them.  Tavon Austin will end up going WAY higher than where I have him ranked (someone will be wanting to hit that AJ Green/Julio Jones homerun with Austin, and I just don’t see it yet).  Also, I don’t trust any of the other WRs enough to even be draft-worthy.  I think I have Givens currently ranked, but I might change that in my next update.  Then there’s Jared Cook, who I thought could break out last year.  He now finds himself with a better QB but also with a viable TE opposite him in Lance Kendricks.  I don’t think either will put up big numbers this year, so I doubt I'll draft Cook either.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
TE: Tampa Bay has some decent options at most positions, so I can only really say that I won’t be targeting a Buccaneer tight end.  Freeman is in a contract year and bounced back last season, Doug Martin is a top 5 pick, and I’d draft either VJax or Mike Williams. So yeah, sorry Luke Stocker and Tom Crabtree, but I won’t be drafting either of you.

Tennessee Titans
WR: Kenny Britt is in a contract year, but all the motivation in the world can’t keep him healthy and on the field.  There is also a lot of hype around Kendall Wright and how good he's been looking in OTAs and now in camp.  But I just don’t trust Jake Locker to get either of them the ball on the regular.  If Ryan Fitzpatrick wins the starting job in Tennessee, I might chance my tune.  But for now, I doubt I’ll be drafting a Titan WR.

Sign at Redskins Training Camp...just wanted to sneak this in here.
Washington Redskins
DEF: I know I’m a fan and I’m biased.  I know this.  But this offense clicked on all cylinders last year, and I think RGIII can keep that going in 2013.  Alfred Morris runs with purpose.  Garcon could have a big year if he stays healthy, and the same could be said for Fred Davis.  And if the offense is moving the ball like they were last year, Kai Forbath is a good option at kicker.  The only “position” I’m not drafting is the defense.  I like the pressure we can put up front, but the secondary seriously concerns me.  I hope we can put up some points because I have a feeling QBs are going to light our D up again this year.


That's it?  That's all 32?  OK then.  I'm done.  See you next time!

Cheers,
Bart

Sunday, July 28, 2013

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings v1.2


There were a couple of big injuries over the weekend that had me rushing to my computer today to update my rankings, and that's not even including the Percy Harvin hip injury from earlier in the week!  One was Jeremy Maclin, who tore his ACL (done for the year).  The other was Dennis Pitta, who dislocated his hip (ouch!).  The latter has me a little more upset because he was my #3 ranked tight end, and I thought he could be a guy I could get a round or two later than the likes of Witten and Gonzalez (even though I liked him to outproduce those veterans).  But it was not to be this year.  Needless to say, my wife (the Ravens fan) is distraught.  I mean, she was physically upset when she found out about the injury.  And I completely understand.  Ed Dickson, while now draftable, is no Dennis Pitta when it comes to catching the football.  These injuries don't just affect their backups for me though.  It actually makes me like the running backs for those teams even more.  Let's get right into my updated rankings, probably the last for the month of July.  


1. Adrian Peterson
2. Arian Foster
3. Doug Martin
4. Ray Rice: I thought Pitta could get 7 or 8 TDs this year.  Now I think Ray gets more touches, overall and in red zone.
5. LeSean McCoy
6. Jamaal Charles: ICharles is barely moving down my rankings, but it has more to do with liking McCoy more now.
7. Marshawn Lynch
8. Calvin Johnson
9. CJ Spiller
10. Alfred Morris
11. Jimmy Graham
12. AJ Green
13. Aaron Rodgers
14. Steven Jackson
15. Trent Richardson
16. Matt Forte: Again, he's a boring 2nd round pick, but he'll produce accordingly. I felt the need to move him up ahead of MJD
17. Maurice Jones-Drew
18. Drew Brees
19. Brandon Marshall
20. Dez Bryant
21. Julio Jones
22. Stevan Ridley
23. Chris Johnson 
24. Reggie Bush: With as much as Detroit passes, I actually like Reggie more than a guy like Gore.
25. Frank Gore
26. Darren McFadden
27. DeMarco Murray
28. Peyton Manning
29. Demaryius Thomas
30. Larry Fitzgerald
31. Cam Newton
32. Tom Brady
33. Roddy White
34: Andre Johnson
35. Vincent Jackson
36. Rob Gronkowski
37. Randall Cobb
38. Victor Cruz
39. Marques Colston
40. Lamar Miller
41. David Wilson
42. Chris Ivory
43. Jordy Nelson
44. Wes Welker
45. Dwayne Bowe
46. Danny Amendola: I know the injury risk, but I can't help thinking what his numbers could be with Brady.
47. Ryan Mathews
48. Rashard Mendenhall
49. Darren Sproles
50. Hakeem Nicks: Still young and talented, but I've owned him and he always seems to be a little injured.
51. Reggie Wayne
52. RGIII: Call it a homer pick, but I got excited seeing him at practice here in RVA!!!
53. Matt Ryan
54. Montee Ball
55. LeVeon Bell
56. Eddie Lacy
57. Torrey Smith: I want to move Torrey up more. He'll see lots of targets, but I feel like he'll see a lot of double teaming now...
58. Antonio Brown
59. Pierre Garcon
60. Jason Witten: With Pitta gone, I value Witten even more.  1000 yards and 5 TDs nearly a guarantee.
61. Colin Kaepernick
62. Russell Wilson
63. Andrew Luck
64. Tony Romo
65. Matthew Stafford
66. Tony Gonzalez
67. Vernon Davis
68. Mike Wallace
69. Steve Smith
70. Cecil Shorts
71. Shane Vereen: Moved ahead of Bradshaw and Law Firm, mainly because of keeper potential.
72. Benjarvis Green-Ellis
73. Ahmad Bradshaw
74. Eric Decker
75. TY Hilton: With Donnie Avery gone, I still might not have Hilton high enough.
76. James Jones
77. Andre Brown
78. Vick Ballard
79. Giovani Bernard: Could potentially be 50/50 split this year, which I think could then be 80/20 in 2014.
80. Sidney Rice: If Harvin injury is season-ending, I will move Rice up into Cecil Shorts area of WRs (at least). 
81. Denario Alexander
82. DeSean Jackson: I hate moving him up, but I have no choice. Should see a few more targets with Maclin gone.
83. Tavon Austin
84. Steve Johnson
85. Greg Jennings: Read some staggering negative comments about Ponder's numbers. Not sure he can get his WRs the ball.
86. Eli Manning
87. Andy Dalton
88. Miles Austin
89. Denarius Moore
90. Anquan Boldin
91. Mike Williams
92. Lance Moore
93. Bryce Brown: Maybe this is a knee jerk reaction (no pun intended), but I think Brown could get more involved.
94. Bernard Pierce: To a slightly lesser extent, maybe Pierce for the Ravens too. Pitta injury helps Rice more though I think.
95. Daryl Richardson: Up slightly.  I feel like a Week 1 start would be worth taking him in top-100.
96. Greg Olsen: With the Pitta injury, moving these three tight ends up a little more.
97. Brandon Pettigrew
98. Jermichael Finley
99. Mark Ingram
100. Ben Tate
101. Jonathan Stewart: Starting the season on the PUP list due to his ankles.  Not a good start...
102. Emmanuel Sanders
103. Michael Floyd
104. Riley Cooper: A new addition to the list with the Maclin injury. Cooper becomes viable flex option, maybe better.
105. Aaron Dobson: Moving one rookie WR above another (Brady >>>>>>>>> Schaub).
106. DeAndre Hopkins
107. Kenny Britt
108. Johnathan Franklin
109. Danny Woodhead
110. Isaiah Pead: Moved Richardson up thinking he'll be the starter Week 1, so moving Pead down slightly.
111. Cordarelle Patterson: See explanation for Jennings, Greg.
112. Golden Tate: If Harvin is out, Tate becomes a nice sleeper.
113. Owen Daniels
114. Antonio Gates
115. Kyle Rudolph
116. Ronnie Hillman: As potential opening day starter, I have to move him up (even if Ball waiting in the wings).
117. DeAngelo Williams: If Stewart nursing his ankle early on, DeAngelo could be starting RB.
118. Joseph Randle
119. Jacquizz Rodgers
120. Shonn Greene
121. Michael Bush
122. Montario Hardesty
123. Ryan Williams
124. Chris Givens
125. Kendall Wright
126. Brian Hartline   
127. Darrius Heyward-Bey
128. Josh Gordon
129. Justin Blackmon
130. Fred Jackson
131. Justin Forsett
132. Toby Gerhart: Moved down a couple more spots. Again, I only draft him if I get AP.
133. Fred Davis: With Pitta out, I thought I'd add a couple more tight ends (and I thought I'd start with a Skin).
134. Jared Cook: Kendricks still in St. Louis, but Cook's talent should earn him many more looks.
135. Peyton Hillis (or Mike James)
136. Mikel Leshoure (or Joique Bell)
137. Rashad Jennings (or Marcel Reece)
138. Robert Turbin (or Christine Michael)
139. Knile Davis (or Shaun Draughn)
140. Jonathan Dwyer (or Isaac Redman)
141. Daniel Thomas (or Mike Gillislee)
142. Roy Helu (or Evan Royster)
143. Bilal Powell (or Mike Goodson)
144. Kendall Hunter (or LaMichael James)
145. Seahawks DEFENSE
146. 49ers DEFENSE
147. Bears DEFENSE
148. Texans DEFENSE
149. Bengals DEFENSE
150. Broncos DEFENSE
151. Ravens DEFENSE
152. Patriots DEFENSE
153. Cardinals DEFENSE
154. Rams DEFENSE
155. Packers DEFENSE
156. Giants DEFENSE
157. Stephen Gostkowski
158. Dan Bailey
159. Matt Bryant 
160. Matt Prater
161. Justin Tucker
162. Blair Walsh
163. Sebastian Janikowski
164. Phil Dawson
165. Randy Bullock
166. Kai Forbath
167. Rob Bironas
168. Greg Zuerlein



And the rest...

QBs
Josh Freeman
Michael Vick
Sam Bradford
Ben Roethlisberger
Philip Rivers
Joe Flacco
Carson Palmer
Matt Schaub
Ryan Tannehill
Jake Locker
EJ Manuel

TEs
Martellus Bennett
Ed Dickson
Rob Housler
Brandon Myers
Dustin Keller
Jordan Cameron
Dennis Pitta: Not completely removing from my list. He could be a good IR stash for a 2014 keeper.

RBs (Free Agents)
Michael Turner
Beanie Wells
Ryan Grant
Cedric Benson
Willis McGahee
WRs
Percy Harvin: Until I hear otherwise, I'm assuming the worst and putting him down here.
Jeremy Kerley: Took him out of my top-168 because I don't want to draft any Jets WR...period.
Alshon Jeffery
Vincent Brown
Brandon LaFell
AJ Jenkins
Ryan Broyles
Brandon Lloyd (FREE AGENT)
Jeremy Maclin: I won't remove him from my list altogether. Could draft and stash for next year.

Cheers,
Bart



Wednesday, July 24, 2013

2013 Fantasy Football Rankings v1.1

I can't believe it's been a month since I posted my first rankings of the year, but it has.  A lot has happened in that month too: in my life, football and everything else.  Let's see.....

My wife and I went to California.  Aaron Hernandez got arrested.  Some idiot broke into my car and destroyed it (luckily they got the guy...and the car, though it was pretty messed up).  The royal baby was born.  Ryan Braun finally got busted for juicing.  We re-tiled our kitchen floor.  But the most important thing, at least to me, is that RGIII got cleared to participate in training camp...which starts tomorrow...in RICHMOND!!!

And with Redskins Training Camp finally here, I thought I'd celebrate by updating my rankings.  It doesn't look drastically different from a month ago, but after doing some research and writing a couple of articles, it has made me reconsider a few areas.  One of the biggest ones is the QB position.  I actually did a mock draft the other day, and it just so happened that I didn't get a QB until pretty late.  But it was fine.  I now realize that you can still get guys like Andrew Luck or Matthew Stafford well into the middle rounds.  Last year I had Rodgers, Brady, and Brees all ranked in my top ten.  This year, I think I'll probably wait on the QB position.  There are so many guys with high upside (Wilson, Kaep, RG3, Luck) as well as your veterans who will still put up good numbers (Ryan, Stafford, Romo).  Sure, Rodgers or Brees might be worth a high pick because they're likely to put up crazy numbers at their position.  But for my money, I'm most likely going running back early this year.  Unless you're in a 20-team league, you should be fine.  There are 12 QBs who I know I wouldn't mind being my starter this year.

As for the rest of the rankings, keep in mind that I'll just put notes next to guys who I've moved up or down.
and I only rank 168 players based on my league.  I'll list a few more based on position below my top-168.

Cheers,
Bart


1. Adrian Peterson
2. Arian Foster
3. Doug Martin
4. Jamaal Charles
5. LeSean McCoy
6. Marshawn Lynch
7. Ray Rice
8. Calvin Johnson
9. CJ Spiller
10. Alfred Morris
11. Jimmy Graham
12. AJ Green: The first round just didn't feel right without him.
13. Aaron Rodgers: I didn't want to drop Rodgers out of my first round, but I'm lowering most QBs.
14. Steven Jackson: Moved ahead of TRich based on great situation in Atlanta vs horrible Browns.
15. Trent Richardson
16. Maurice Jones-Drew: Medically cleared for training camp & in a contract year.  Trending up.
17. Drew Brees: Again, moving all QBs down slightly.  Brees still #2 in my book though. 
18. Brandon Marshall
19. Dez Bryant
20. Julio Jones
21. Matt Forte
22. Stevan Ridley
23. Chris Johnson: Moving several RBs up (from CJ to Bush).  Placing higher value on them over QB and WR. 
24. Frank Gore
25. Darren McFadden
26. DeMarco Murray
27. Reggie Bush
28. Peyton Manning: Love the weapons the old-timer has in Denver, but still moving all QBs down.
29. Percy Harvin: Moved him and Demaryius down slightly.  Would rather have feature RB in first 2 rounds.
30. Demaryius Thomas
31. Larry Fitzgerald: Moved him up slightly.  I like his situation a little more than next WR tier.
32. Cam Newton: This QB only fell 3 spots in my rankings.  I have faith in my keeper.
33. Tom Brady: I know he can put up numbers with any WRs, but he barely has any at all!
34: Roddy White
35. Andre Johnson
36. Vincent Jackson
(For reference, this is my league's potential keeper line)
37. Rob Gronkowski: We'll see if he starts Week 1, but it's a long season.  Might move up even more if he does.
38. Randall Cobb
39. Victor Cruz
40. Marques Colston: Moved him ahead of Jordy.  Rarely injured and super consistent.
41. Lamar Miller: Love his opportunity with weak competition behind him. Had to move him up.
42. David Wilson: Still think Andre Brown gets goal line duty, but Wilson should get majority of carries.
43. Chris Ivory: A bit of an injury risk, but potential to be a star with great offensive line.
44. Jordy Nelson
45. Wes Welker
46. Dwayne Bowe
47. Hakeem Nicks 
48. Ryan Mathews: I still believe.  I hope getting rid of Norv helps him in some way.
49. Rashard Mendenhall: Back with his old coach but in a new uniform.  Could put up big numbers.
50. Darren Sproles
51. Reggie Wayne: Sort of a sleeper for me last year, I think he comes back to earth a bit at age 34.
52. Danny Amendola: Will have to pay for Danny in your draft.  Injury risk definitely worth the reward.
53. Matt Ryan: Continuing to adjust QBs downward.
54. Montee Ball
55. LeVeon Bell
56. Eddie Lacy: Moves up slightly to be just behind a couple of other rookies who are potential starters.
57. RGIII: Moving him up based on early medical clearance and my man crush.
58. Antonio Brown: He's now the #1 WR in Pittsburgh, and Ben will throw to him a ton.
59. Pierre Garcon
60. Torrey Smith
61. Colin Kaepernick
62. Russell Wilson
63. Andrew Luck
64. Tony Romo
65. Matthew Stafford
66. Dennis Pitta: Yes, I'm putting him ahead of Witten and Gonzo.  Will I stick to this list?  Watch me. 
67. Jason Witten
68. Tony Gonzalez
69. Vernon Davis
70. Mike Wallace
71. Steve Smith
72. Cecil Shorts
73. Benjarvis Green-Ellis: Moved him down considerably.  Lots of buzz around rookie Bernard.
74. Ahmad Bradshaw: Already on PUP list. I'm liking Ballard more and more, and Ahmad much less.
75. Shane Vereen: Probably the biggest move up in my rankings.  He's in line for lots of touches.
76. Eric Decker: I think I was hasty and moved him down a little too much at first.
77. James Jones
78. Greg Jennings
79. TY Hilton
80. Andre Brown: Should still get plenty of goal line work, and could even end up being feature back.
81. Vick Ballard: If I move Bradshaw down, I have to move Ballard up!
82. Denario Alexander: If he can stay healthy, he could be a top-20 WR, but hasn't played a full season yet.
83. Tavon Austin: Keep moving him up, and you'll have to move up to take a chance on the rookie.
84. Giovani Bernard: Another rookie you'll have to pay for.  In a keeper league, this might not be high enough!
85. Steve Johnson: Dude broke his back in the offseason. Not convinced he's 100%. Moved down slightly.
86. Eli Manning
87. Andy Dalton
88. Jeremy Maclin: Unsure who will get the touches in Chip Kelly's offense.
89. Miles Austin: Always concerned with an injury with him, which has him falling down my big board.
90. Denarius Moore
91. Anquan Boldin
92. Mike Williams
93. Lance Moore
94. Jonathan Stewart: Should be "feature back" in Carolina, but that doesn't mean big numbers.
95. Mark Ingram: If this is finally the year he breaks out, I don't want to miss him!
96. Daryl Richardson: Another guy I moved up a lot. Pead starting year with a game suspension...
97. Ben Tate
98. Greg Olsen: Moving these three tight ends up a bit.    
99. Brandon Pettigrew
100. Jermichael Finley
101. DeSean Jackson: And these few WRs too (from DeSean to Britt)
102. Sidney Rice
103. Emmanuel Sanders
104. Michael Floyd
105. DeAndre Hopkins
106. Aaron Dobson
107. Cordarelle Patterson
108. Kenny Britt
109. Isaiah Pead: Suspended for Week 1. Could get starting gig when he returns, but may not.
110. Johnathan Franklin: Not 100% sure Eddie Lacy gets all the carries.  Both are rookies..
111. Danny Woodhead: Moved him up a bit.  I'm sure Mathews will only get 60% of the carries or so.
112. Bernard Pierce
113. Bryce Brown
114. Owen Daniels: Moving three more tight ends up a little higher.
115. Antonio Gates
116. Kyle Rudolph
117. Joseph Randle
118. Jacquizz Rodgers
119. Shonn Greene
120. Michael Bush
121. Ronnie Hillman: I think he has a chance to be the starter in Denver, or at least get good amount of carries.
122. Montario Hardesty
123. Ryan Williams
124. Chris Givens
125. Kendall Wright
126. Brian Hartline   
127. Darrius Heyward-Bey
128. Jeremy Kerley
129. Josh Gordon
130. Justin Blackmon: With a 4 game suspension, I'm not sure I want to wait around for him.
131. Toby Gerhart: Moved him down a lot.  Really only a handcuff if you draft AP.
132. Fred Jackson
133. Justin Forsett: If MJD has a setback, Forsett could see some early action.
134. Peyton Hillis: Bucs signed him this week.  Mike James might be backup, but Hillis could vulture TDs.
135. Mikel Leshoure (or Joique Bell)
136. DeAngelo Williams 
137. Rashad Jennings (or Marcel Reece)
138. Robert Turbin (or Christine Michael)
139. Knile Davis (or Shaun Draughn)
140. Jonathan Dwyer (or Isaac Redman)
141. Daniel Thomas (or Mike Gillislee)
142. Roy Helu (or Evan Royster)
143. Bilal Powell (or Mike Goodson)
144. Kendall Hunter (or LaMichael James)
145. Seahawks DEFENSE
146. 49ers DEFENSE
147. Bears DEFENSE
148. Texans DEFENSE
149. Bengals DEFENSE
150. Broncos DEFENSE: Moved down a spot. Von Miller might be out first 4 games (suspension).
151. Ravens DEFENSE
152. Patriots DEFENSE
153. Cardinals DEFENSE
154. Rams DEFENSE
155. Packers DEFENSE
156. Giants DEFENSE
157. Stephen Gostkowski
158. Dan Bailey: He's been a top-10 kicker in each of his first 2 seasons. Also no bye until Week 11, which I like.
159. Matt Bryant 
160. Matt Prater
161. Justin Tucker
162. Blair Walsh
163. Sebastian Janikowski
164. Phil Dawson
165. Randy Bullock
166. Kai Forbath
167. Rob Bironas
168. Greg Zuerlein



And the rest...

QBs
Josh Freeman
Michael Vick
Joe Flacco
Ben Roethlisberger
Philip Rivers
Sam Bradford
Carson Palmer
Matt Schaub
Ryan Tannehill
Jake Locker
EJ Manuel

TEs
Jared Cook
Martellus Bennett
Fred Davis
Rob Housler
Brandon Myers
Dustin Keller
Jordan Cameron

RBs (Free Agents)
Michael Turner
Beanie Wells
Ryan Grant
Cedric Benson
Willis McGahee
WRs
Alshon Jeffery
Vincent Brown
Brandon LaFell
Golden Tate
AJ Jenkins
Ryan Broyles
Brandon Lloyd (FREE AGENT)