Monday, July 10, 2017

2017 Fantasy Football Rankings v3

There hasn't been a ton of activity in the NFL since my last update back in May, but OTAs have built up some hype for certain players (mostly rookies) and I've been mock drafting and reading a few fantasy football articles.  Oh, and training camps start in like 2 weeks!  That all got me thinking about my own rankings and nudged me to version up the big board.

As far as some of the moves since May that have impacted my list below...

The Chiefs released Jeremy Maclin, which moves Travis Kelce and Tyreek Hill up my list.  Either could conceivably lead the Chiefs in receiving yards/TDs this year, and Chris Conley also now cracks my top-200.
Image result for travis kelce arrow

As for Maclin, he ended up with my wife's team (the Ravens), which was definitely a good move for them after losing Steve Smith to retirement, Kamar Aiken to free agency, and Dennis Pitta to yet another hip injury that'll likely end his career.  And while it may seem like a lateral move for Maclin's fantasy value, I actually moved him up a bit.  Here's something you may not know: Baltimore has THE most passing attempts in each of the last two seasons.  Someone has to try to catch all of those balls in 2017, and Mike Wallace can't do it by himself.  And while a lot of people like Perriman's breakout potential this season, I think Maclin is a much better bet in the short term.  I also like what the move does for Flacco's fantasy value, though you can still likely get him in the last round of your draft (and that's probably still appropriate).

After letting Brandon Marshall walk, the Jets let Eric Decker go too, and he signed a one year deal with the Titans.  Marcus Mariota continues to gain weapons, but this likely hurts the value of other Titan receivers.  In fact, I think it could really hurt Delanie Walker's value since Decker is such a red zone threat.  As for the Jets, I don't really know what they're thinking, but their receiving corps is now very much unproven.  I like Enunwa to lead the bunch, but I could also now see ArDarius Stewart having an impact in his rookie season.

LeGarrette Blount signed with the Eagles since my last blog post, but I had already lowered him with the expectation that he was going to be out of New England.  Hence, I didn't lower him even more here.

One thing I didn't mention in my last update was that I landed the #1 pick in my upcoming draft.  I know you probably don't care, but let me explain because it does impact my rankings a bit.  Anyway, we do a bingo ball lottery thing to determine draft order in my league.  We ended up doing it early this year at our dude's beach weekend (which was the first weekend of March Madness).  Since I have the top pick in my draft, that means I'll likely be taking Le'Veon Bell unless he:

a. gets busted for weed in the next few weeks
b. holds out over a new contract (unlikely but possible)
c. gets seriously hurt before my draft

What that also means is I'll likely have two RBs on my roster with the same bye week before I even pick in Round 2 of my draft.  Jordan Howard is looking like my best potential keeper, and he also gets Week 9 off.  In fact, there are SIX teams with a Week 9 bye, so I'm lowering a few other RBs with that same bye.  Of course there is a point at which I won't pass up on a guy like Dalvin Cook (especially since I'm in a keeper league), but I've lowered some of these Week 9 RBs accordingly, and I probably won't even look at New England running backs when considering Bellitricks to go along with the Week 9 bye thing.  It's just not worth it.  Everyone assumes Gillislee is going to fit into the LeGarrette Blount role.  But you know what?  A month before New England signed him, everyone was saying it'd be Rex Burkhead.  And after the 3rd week of the preseason, it could be someone else!  No thanks.

Again, these are MY rankings.  You probably don't want to lower a RB solely based on his Week 9 bye, but it's just something else to consider if you're looking at bye weeks for your own squad.  I typically don't put a lot of stock in the byes because so much can happen between now and, say, Week 9.  But when my preseason top two (potential) RBs have the same bye?  Well then, I'm considering it.

Enjoy the rankings!


1. Le'Veon Bell
2. David Johnson
3. Antonio Brown 
4. Julio Jones
5. Mike Evans
6. Odell Beckham, Jr.
7. Ezekiel Elliott: The NFL still may discipline him for a domestic violence case. Down a few spots.
8. LeSean McCoy
9. Jay Ajayi
10. Jordan Howard 
11. A.J. Green
12. Michael Thomas: Moved him and T.Y. up to this WR tier. 
13. Jordy Nelson
14. T.Y. Hilton  
15. Melvin Gordon
16. Devonta Freeman  
17. Todd Gurley
18. DeMarco Murray
19. Carlos Hyde 
20. Leonard Fournette
21. Aaron Rodgers
22. Doug Baldwin: I go back and forth with him, but he belongs at the top of this WR tier. Back up.
23. Amari Cooper 
24. Dez Bryant: Hasn't been the same without Romo. Dez felt a little high in my last rankings. 
25. DeAndre Hopkins 
26. Sammy Watkins 
27. Tom Brady: Moved him up about 10 spots. I realized I'd take him well ahead of Brees/Luck.  
28. Rob Gronkowski: Down to just below Brady. Gronk's injury history is worrisome.  
29. Marshawn Lynch
30. Lamar Miller: Down a few spots. Feels better in this RB tier. 
31. Isaiah Crowell
32. Brandin Cooks 
33. Davante Adams  
34. Demaryius Thomas
35. Travis Kelce: He and Reed up a few spots. Debating Kelce vs Demaryius as my #2 keeper.
36. Jordan Reed
37. Drew Brees 
38. Andrew Luck
39. Allen Robinson: Not sure how I feel about him and Alshon, so I lowered both slightly. 
40. Alshon Jeffery
41. Michael Crabtree: The expectation is that Cooper takes a step forward, so Crabtree down some. 
42. Paul Perkins: He felt a little high where I had him, but I like him at top of this RB tier. 
43. Joe Mixon: I keep moving him up, and this is right around the keeper line in my league... 
44. Christian McCaffery: I felt the need to move him closer to my keeper line as well.    
45. Dalvin Cook: Are you noticing a trend? He has a Week 9 bye, but could be a great keeper.
46. Ty Montgomery: The hype around Jamaal Williams has me moving Montgomery down a little.
47. Spencer Ware
48. Tevin Coleman
49. Ameer Abdullah: He was good before he got hurt in '16, and it sounds like he'll be featured. Up.
50. CJ Anderson: Talk of RBBC. He felt a bit too high where I had him. 
51. Frank Gore: Down to the bottom of this tier due to lack of keeper potential, but he's still good!
52. Greg Olsen: Actually way up (about 35 spots). If I miss on top-3 TEs, I won't wait on Greg.      
53. Terrelle Pryor 
54. Tyreek Hill: With the Chiefs releasing Maclin, Tyreek up several WR tiers. 
55. Jarvis Landry  
56. Martavis Bryant: I keep moving him up every time I do a rankings update.      
57. Donte Moncrief: Up a few spots too. I like his keeper potential if he can stay healthy.   
58. Keenan Allen  
59. Russell Wilson: Moved these 2 QBs up a few. If I miss on top-4, don't want to wait much longer.
60. Matt Ryan
61. Larry Fitzgerald  
62. Golden Tate 
63. Jamison Crowder: Up a few. Nice keeper potential, especially if Doctson doesn't pan out.
64. Kelvin Benjamin: I was a tad high on him. I mean, did you see how fat/slow he was in camp?
65. Brandon Marshall
66. Emmanuel Sanders
67. Eddie Lacy
68. Adrian Peterson: I'm actually moving him slightly ahead of Ingram.
69. Bilal Powell: He seems like he'll be the lead back in a committee with Forte. Up. 
70. Mark Ingram: At some point, the hate has probably gone too far. Is this too far down? We'll see.
71. LeGarrette Blount 
72. Matt Forte 
73. Jimmy Graham: Two more TEs that I moved slightly up, mostly based on mock drafts I've done.
74. Tyler Eifert
75. Julian Edelman: He keeps falling for me. With Cooks there, Edelman's numbers likely down.
76. Stefon Diggs
77. Willie Snead: All the way up into my top-100. Well into my top-100 in fact.   
78. Pierre Garcon: I was WAY too low on Garcon. I think Hoyer can get him the ball. 
79. Corey Davis: He felt too high, even in a keeper league. Especially now with Decker there.  
80. John Brown: Assuming he's healthy, I had to move him up more.  
81. Eric Decker: Better QB situation with the Titans, but injury concerns keep him down for me.  
82. Derek Carr: Felt that Russell and Matty Ice deserved their own tier. Carr/Cousins down a few.
83. Kirk Cousins  
84. Doug Martin: Moved him up to the top of this RB tier. 
85. Rob Kelley: Perine could win the RB job in training camp. Fat Rob keeps moving down.   
86. Jonathan Stewart: I worry that he could just be a goal line RB. Down another RB tier.
87. Danny Woodhead 
88. Theo Riddick 
89. C.J. Prosise  
90. Derrick Henry: In a keeper league, he felt too low. Still might be too low...
91. Samaje Perine: Same with this rookie. Redskins seem to have a different lead RB every year.
92. Cam Newton: Moved him back down to the top of this QB tier.
93. Marcus Mariota: And moved Mariota up in this tier. He keeps getting weapons. 
94. Jameis Winston
95. Dak Prescott: Moved him down to this QB tier. I'm not convinced he has a great Year 2.  
96. Philip Rivers
97. DeVante Parker: Getting a lot of 3rd year WR breakout hype, and he cracks my top-100.  
98. Quincy Enunwa: Moved him up when Marshall left. Now up more with Decker gone.
99. Corey Coleman  
100. Jeremy Maclin: Chiefs released him. Baltimore signed him. I moved him up to this WR tier.     
101. Martellus Bennett
102. Kyle Rudolph
103. Latavius Murray: WAY down. Week 9 bye, and he feels like just a goal line RB in Minnesota.
104. Kenneth Dixon: Had him too high too. West could literally run away with the job Week 1. 
105. Duke Johnson
106. Kareem Hunt: There's talk of him getting in the mix right away. Up.
107. Jamaal Williams: Up a bit too. Could be the guy for Green Bay if Ty can't transition.
108. Giovani Bernard: Down a bit with the Bengals taking Mixon. Also Gio's health is a concern.
109. Darren Sproles: Down slightly with Blount now there, even though they'll have different roles.
110. Cameron Meredith 
111. DeSean Jackson
112. Randall Cobb
113. Mike Wallace: Still the likely the #1 or 2 Raven WR, but down slightly with Maclin there.
114. Terrance West: Remember Dixon out first 4 games... Up.
115. Jonathan Williams: With Gillislee gone, Williams left to mix in with McCoy. Up.
116. Mike Gillislee: Speaking of Gillislee. Patriots with the Week 9 bye, so he's down for me.  
117. Thomas Rawls: I'm starting to think Eddie Lacy could be the guy. I keep moving Rawls down.
118. Jeremy Hill: I keep moving Hill down as well. Cincy's backfield could be a fantasy mess.
119. Matthew Stafford: Moved him and Ben down to a tier of their own, but hope not to draft either.
120. Ben Roethlisberger 
121. Josh Doctson
122. Kevin White
123. Kenny Britt: Down a bit. I'm buying Corey Coleman and selling stock in Britt.
124. Rishard Matthews: Down even more with Decker in Tennessee. It's getting crowded there.
125. Zach Ertz  
126. Hunter Henry
127. Delanie Walker: Decker likely to take away some of his TD potential. Down to this TE tier.
128. Jack Doyle
129. Eric Ebron
130. Jalen Richard: Not sure which RB will have more value behind Lynch, so he's down a few. 
131. Charles Sims: Moved him and a few rookie RBs up to this tier.    
132. James Connor: 3rd Round pick. De'Angelo gone. Should be Le'Veon handcuff. Up.
133. Marlon Mack
134. Alvin Kamara
135. Devin Funchess: With Carolina drafting two rookie WR (ish) playmakers, Funchess down.  
136. Zay Jones: This might be too high, but he has a clear path to be #2 WR in Buffalo.
137. Will Fuller  
138. Mike Williams: Crowded WR group in LA, and he's dealing with a back issue. Down. 
139. Tyler Lockett 
140. Marvin Jones
141. Marqise Lee
142. Adam Thielen 
143. J.J. Nelson: John Brown seems healthy now, so Nelson down a bit more for me.
144. Breshad Perriman: The Maclin signing may hurt his fantasy value the most. Down.   
145. Eli Manning
146. Tyrod Taylor 
147. Andy Dalton
148. Carson Wentz
149. Blake Bortles
150. Deshaun Watson 
151. Joe Flacco: Pitta likely done, but Maclin signing is good for his fantasy value.
152. Jacquizz Rodgers   
153. Jamaal Charles: Signed with Denver. Can't imagine he'll have a ton of fantasy value.  Down.
154. Ryan Mathews: Down with Blount signing, and it sounds like the Eagles will cut him...
155. T.J. Yeldon: There's talk of him potentially getting cut too!  Down. 
156. DeAndre Washington
157. Tyrell Williams  
158. Kenny Stills
159. Jordan Matthews 
160. Chris Conley: Had to add him to the top-200 with Maclin gone. Could be in for big Year 3.
161. Ted Ginn: Up to this WR tier. Could have even more value with Brees throwing to him. 
162. ArDarius Stewart: Without Decker around, Stewart could have clear path to playing time.
163. Robert Woods
164. Cole Beasley 
165. Branden Oliver: Looking healthy at OTAs, so he's up here and Barner to the watch list.
166. Devontae Booker
167. Chris Thompson
168. Andre Ellington: Moved back to RB position. Presumably David Johnson's handcuff. Up.
169. Curtis Samuel
170. Shane Vereen: Moved into the top-200. Should have a role in the Giant backfield.
171. Julius Thomas
172. Jared Cook
173. Coby Fleener: Cooks leaves targets, and Fleener might get some in Year 2 with Brees. Up.
174. Austin Hooper: Thought he belonged in top-200. Could have a breakout season.
175. C.J. Fiedorowicz
176. Jesse James: With Ladarius Green gone, I felt the need to add him up here too.
177. Broncos DEFENSE
178. Seahawks DEFENSE
179. Ravens DEFENSE
180. Texans DEFENSE
181. Steelers DEFENSE: At Cleveland Week 1 and a decent schedule after that. Up. 
182. Patriots DEFENSE
183. Giants DEFENSE
184. Vikings DEFENSE
185. Panthers DEFENSE
186. Cardinals DEFENSE
187. Bengals DEFENSE
188. Chiefs DEFENSE: At New England Week 1, but too good to ignore. Up from watch list.
189. Justin Tucker
190. Stephen Gostkowski
191. Mason Crosby
192. Adam Vinatieri
193. Dustin Hopkins: It's the f'ing kicker position. Why not draft a guy on my team, right?
194. Cairo Santos
195. Caleb Sturgis
196. Sebastian Janikowski 
197. Dan Bailey
198. Matt Prater
199. Steven Hauschka
200. Nick Novak

[The Watch List]

Carson Palmer
Ryan Tannehill
Brian Hoyer: Adding him because why not? If Fitzpatrick can be relevant in fantasy, why can't Hoyer with a play caller like Kyle Shanahan? 

James White: Moved all of these Pats RBs to the watch list (Week 9 bye)
Dion Lewis
Rex Burkhead
Darren McFadden
Kenyan Drake: Down to the watch list. Not sure he's a handcuff to Ajayi right now.
Wendell Smallwood
Corey Clement
Chris Ivory
Robert Turbin
Christine Michael: Signed with the Colts. Stays in the watch list.
Matt Asiata: Signed with the Lions. Stays in the watch list as well.
Zach Zenner
Shaun Draughn
Wayne Gallman
Jeremy Langford
Benny Cunningham
Charcandrick West
Kenjon Barner: Branden Oliver is healthy and should get more playing time than Barner.
Knile Davis: Moved James Connor into top-200 and Knile down to the watch list.
Tim Hightower: Down to the watch list. Could be Joe Williams who needs to be in top-200, not him.
Joe Williams
D'Onta Foreman
Aaron Jones
Jeremy McNichols
Donnel Pumphrey
Rashad Jennings
James Starks
DeAngelo Williams

John Ross: Big talent, but I was too high on him initially. Not sure he'll have fantasy value yet.
JuJu Smith-Schuster
Tyler Boyd
Sterling Shepard: Had a good rookie season, but down to watch list with Marshall now there.
Brandon Coleman
Tavon Austin
Allen Hurns
Laquon Treadwell
Torrey Smith
Brian Quick
Kendall Wright
Robby Anderson
Markus Wheaton: I doubt he'll have much fantasy value, but could be #2 or 3 WR for the Bears.
Kamar Aiken
Phillip Dorsett
Eli Rogers
Sammie Coates
Andre Holmes: If rookie Zay Jones isn't the #2 WR in Buffalo, it could be new addition Holmes.
Taylor Gabriel: Down to the watch list with Sanu. Don't really trust either very much.
Mohamed Sanu
Anquan Boldin

Gary Barnidge: There's talk of the Ravens signing him. He'll be in top-200 if that happens.
Cameron Brate
O.J. Howard
Evan Engram
David Njoku
Dwayne Allen
Zach Miller
Vernon Davis
Erik Swoope: Luck throws to his TEs, and Doyle ain't the only one in Indy.
Logan Thomas: I removed Charles Clay from the watch list because Clay has been battling chronic knee issues for the last couple of years, and he's never had a good season from a fantasy perspective. On the other hand, if Logan Thomas can make the squad as a tight end, he could be very interesting.  And as someone who used to babysit him when I was just a little bit older than him, I'm obviously rooting for the guy!  :)