Here we are, sports fans. It's the last week before the fantasy playoffs. Whether you're fighting for that final playoff spot or not, I have the rankings that you crave. Last week was a wild one with so many players out due to Covid and injuries, and I hope this week is a little more predictable. But last week was actually kind of fun to do the rankings, so whatever. I was terrible against the spread in Week 12, but I kept it rolling with my over/under picks. So if you're looking at those at the very bottom of this post, maybe just fade my picks ATS and just look at those point totals. And now that I've said that, I'm sure this week the trend will flip. This is why I don't actually bet...or at least no big money.
Let's get right into the Week 13 rankings, shall we?
QBs
Obvious Start: I was so wrong about Cam Newton last week...and Derek Carr too. This week my obvious start is Ryan Tannehill. He's burned me before in this spot, but he's been a top-10 QB the last two weeks and gets the Browns here in Week 13. He's had multiple touchdowns in all but two games this season, and he just seems to get it done.
Not-So-Obvious Start: While Tannehill has been a top-10 QB the last two weeks, Kirk Cousins has actually been a top-5 fantasy QB in each of those weeks. He's not an obvious start, but against a terrible Jacksonville defense and with Adam Thielen likely back, he should end up at least in the top-10 here in Week 13.
The Ceiling is the Roof: Maybe it's because I just got done watching the Steelers barely get by Baltimore's B squad, but I feel like Ben Roethlisberger is a boring start this week. I have him ranked in my top-15, but it feels like that's about his ceiling against the Fightin' Football Team. This could be a low scoring affair with two good defenses, and I'd look for a better streamer than Big Ben this week.
Obvious Start: Last week I mentioned David Montgomery here, and he finished in the top-10. I know he doesn't seem like he has a high ceiling, but he's playing the Lions this week! He'll probably be a top-10 RB again, so don't worry about it. Start Montgomery even though he's boring. He'll get you the points you need.
Not-So-Obvious Start: I doubled down on Montgomery, and I'm doubling down on Duke Johnson with my not-so-obvious start. If David Johnson is still out, you have to like Duke as an RB2 against the Colts. With Will Fuller now set to miss the rest of the season, you have to think that will mean a bit more volume for the running backs because the rest of the WRs outside of Brandin Cooks are trash.
The Ceiling is the Roof: I told you Melvin Gordon was a fluke in Week 11, and he flopped against the Saints. Well, the whole offense did because the Broncos didn't exactly have a quarterback. Still, I wouldn't trust a running back against the Sainst this week either, and that means Brian Hill is a sit. And if by some chance Gurley is healthy, this logic will extend to him too. I'll even have a hard time ranking him inside my top-25 RBs.
Obvious Start: Did you see what Deebo Samuel did last week? You start this man.
Not-So-Obvious Start: Cole Beasley has played in 11 games this year, and he has been a top-40 WR in half PPR scoring in 7 of those games. With John Brown out, he feels like a lock for a top-30 option. Get him in your lineup, especially if you have any points for receptions.
The Ceiling is the Roof: I warned you about Travis Fulgham in Week 11 and then again on Christian Kirk in Week 12. I was right in both cases, and my boom/BUST guy in Week 13 is CeeDee Lamb. I realize he's made some good plays recently, but his production minus touchdowns is worrisome in his last five games. I think you can find a better option for your #2 or #3 WR.
Obvious Start: I realize that Zach Ertz could be back this week, but Dallas Goedert has been great with or without Ertz. You're starting Goedert against the Packers.
Not-So-Obvious Start: I know Kyle Rudolph doesn't have great numbers on the season, but he had 7 targets last week with Irv Smith out. If he's out again, you have to trust Rudolph in December.
The Ceiling is the Roof: I told you Jared Cook was garbage, and he's still garbage. Also garbage is Jimmy Graham. I liked his prospects better with Nick Foles under center, but I don't see Trubiskey making him a centerpiece of the offense.
I continued to underperform with my picks against the spread in Week 12, but I'm now in the top-3 among the BettingPros experts for my over/under picks. So like I've said for the last few weeks, if you're taking any action on this, maybe focus on those!
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