Thursday, June 28, 2018

2018 Fantasy Football Rankings v5

The last time I updated my rankings, the Capitals were up 3 games to 1 in the Stanley Cup Final.  As you likely know, they got the job done in Game 5 and won the whole thing for the first time in franchise history.  I still kind of can't believe it.  It wasn't until the next day when I realized I haven't really experienced this as a fan before: the team I root for actually won a championship

OK.  So I rooted for Duke basketball in the 90s, and there were a couple of championships I was happy about then.  But this is very different.  I'm an adult now with adult things going on.  I couldn't really care less about Duke basketball anymore, but I'm a fan of the Redskins, Orioles, and the Caps.  Oh, and Tottenham, but that feels secondary compared to American sports.  I live in Mechanicsville, Virginia...not London, England.  But I spend a lot of my time watching those sports teams, mostly on tv, but once or twice a year in person if I can. 

Anyway, I was so excited for all of those guys, but especially Ovi.  The look on his face after the last game was priceless, and there was just so much joy on that ice.  I don't want the feeling to end for those guys.  And as I thought more about it, I realized it's a little strange to feel so happy about the achievements of other grown men - men I don't even know personally.  I didn't do anything but watch them play hockey.  But I've been watching them for years, and so many other Caps fans have shared in those heartbreaking losses and series collapses.  We didn't do anything but cheer them on, but it still feels good now that they've won it.  Congrats, boys!
Image result for julian edelman catch
There haven't been a ton of moves in the NFL since my last update, but that's not stopping me from updating my rankings.  Julian Edelman got hit with a 4 game suspension, so that was big news for a couple of days.  Guys like Dez Bryant and DeMarco Murray still haven't signed anywhere, and the Chargers didn't re-sign Antonio Gates like a lot of people expected.  But there's still plenty of time for those things to happen.  I'm sure Gates wouldn't want to go through all of the offseason camp stuff anyway.  It wouldn't surprise me if they sign him in August and he's good to go Week 1.  But for now, he stays in my watch list.  And for now, Dez and DeMarco continue to slide down my big board. 

Lets see who else has moved around in my latest rankings!


1. Le'Veon Bell
2. Todd Gurley
3. Ezekiel Elliott
4. Alvin Kamara 
5. Antonio Brown: Up one spot. It felt wrong not having him in the top-5. 
6. David Johnson
7. Saquon Barkley
8. Leonard Fournette
9. DeAndre Hopkins: Down to this WR tier, leaving AB in a tier of his own.
10. Odell Beckham, Jr.: And moved these other WRs up into Round 1 too.
11. Michael Thomas
12. Julio Jones
13. Rob Gronkowski: Up a couple more spots with the Edelman suspension. Nearly back into Rd 1.
14. Dalvin Cook
15. Kareem Hunt
16. Melvin Gordon
17. Keenan Allen 
18. Davante Adams
19. A.J. Green  
20. Mike Evans
21. Doug Baldwin
22. Devonta Freeman     
23. Jerick McKinnon   
24. Christian McCaffery
25. Joe Mixon 
26. LeSean McCoy: Moved to the bottom of this RB tier. His O-line is worse, and he's getting old.
27. T.Y. Hilton 
28. Adam Thielen
29. Alshon Jeffery
30. Stefon Diggs
31. Jordan Howard: Down to this RB tier. Nagy sounds like he's going to use Cohen a LOT.
32. Jay Ajayi 
33. Alex Collins
34. Derrius Guice: Moving up to this RB tier because he feels like he belongs in Round 3.
35. Zach Ertz: Ertz and Kelce slightly up too. I'm starting to really value the top-3 TEs.
36. Travis Kelce
37. Larry Fitzgerald
38. JuJu Smith-Schuster: Up to this WR tier. Why not? With Martavis gone, he could be special.
39. Amari Cooper
40. Kenyan Drake
41. Derrick Henry: Down a RB tier. New OC sees him and Lewis as "1A and 1B".  Not a good sign.
42. Rashaad Penny
43. Tyreek Hill: Down a WR tier. I don't trust him as much in a new offense with a new QB.
44. Demaryius Thomas
45. Brandin Cooks
46. Marvin Jones
47. Josh Gordon: I feel like Tyrod will get him the ball. Gordon seems to belong in the top-50.
48. Michael Crabtree
49. Aaron Rodgers: Fell about ten spots. QB is deep, and losing Jordy could hurt.
50. Deshaun Watson: Assuming he's fully healthy, I moved him a few spots above Russell Wilson.
51. Sony Michel
52. Lamar Miller: With D'Onta possibly ready for Week 1, I felt I had Miller too high. 
53. Marshawn Lynch
54. Ronald Jones
55. Mark Ingram: Back up slightly. Could still be top-12 RB even with missing first 4 games.
56. Tevin Coleman   
57. Dion Lewis: There should be plenty of touches for both RBs in this offense. Up.
58. Chris Hogan: Already had him high before Edelman's suspension, but now up a WR tier.
59. Golden Tate
60. Allen Robinson
61. Corey Davis
62. Jarvis Landry
63. Devin Funchess
64. Tom Brady: Moved him back up to the top of this QB tier.
65. Russell Wilson: And moved both him and Wentz down a few spots to this tier.
66. Carson Wentz
67. Marlon Mack
68. Royce Freeman: Up to this RB tier with Marlon Mack. Like Mack, he could be the starter.
69. Chris Thompson: Moved him up too. Should be healthy and have a big role like last year.
70. Allen Hurns: If he can stay healthy, he can replicate his 2015 season. WAY up for me.
71. DeVante Parker: I think I had him too low. Landry leaves a lot of targets in Miami.
72. Sterling Shepard: I also moved him up. Adam Rank has him as a top-12 WR!
73. Will Fuller 
74. Pierre Garcon: He was decent last year when healthy. Up a couple of WR tiers.
75. Cam Newton: Swapped him with Kirk. If I draft Cam, I'll just draft another QB (Week 4 bye). 
76. Drew Brees: Not a great fantasy year in 2017. Down a bit to this QB tier. 
77. Kirk Cousins 
78. Jimmy Graham: No sure thing he's a top-5 fantasy TE. Down to here with rest of these guys.
79. Kyle Rudolph 
80. Delanie Walker: Moved him WAY back up to this TE tier...above Olsen even!
81. Greg Olsen 
82. Evan Engram: Down two spots to the bottom of this TE tier.
83. Rex Burkhead: Up slightly to this RB tier. 
84. Isaiah Crowell
85. Kerryon Johnson: Rookie running backs. So hot right now. Up to this RB tier. 
86. Emmanuel Sanders
87. Randall Cobb
88. Robert Woods
89. Robby Anderson: A suspension is coming, but how many games will it be?  Down...
90. Kelvin Benjamin
91. Aaron Jones: Head coach making this backfield sound like a 3-headed monster.  Down.
92. Nick Chubb 
93. C.J. Anderson
94. Tarik Cohen: Up to this RB tier. Sounds like he'll be very involved in Bear offense this year. 
95. Jamaal Williams: Also down, but I have him and Aaron Jones in same RB tier for now.
96. Sammy Watkins
97. Jordy Nelson: Down another WR tier. I just don't trust him without Aaron Rodgers.
98. Marqise Lee
99. D.J. Moore: Up to this WR tier. Could be in a position to be #1 WR in Carolina right away.  
100. Julian Edelman: Starting the year with a 4 game PED ban. Down but not out of top-100.
101. Matthew Stafford: Moved to the top of this QB tier. Feels like the safest top-10 QB pick. 
102. Andrew Luck
103. Philip Rivers
104. D'Onta Foreman
105. Frank Gore: He felt a little high where I had him. Dolphins could struggle to score TDs.
106. DeMarco Murray: Still unsigned and out of my top-100.
107. Kenny Stills 
108. Cooper Kupp
109. Rishard Matthews
110. Marquise Goodwin
111. Dez Bryant: He also falls out of my top-100 after going unsigned for so long.
112. Nelson Agholor
113. Jamison Crowder: Back up a little. Has been top-40 WR and averaged 100 targets last 2 years. 
114. Mike Williams
115. Josh Doctson 
116. Bilal Powell 
117. Peyton Barber: As long as the Bucs don't sign a guy like DeMarco Murray, Barber up for me.
118. Devontae Booker 
119. Carlos Hyde: Duke Johnson signed a contract extension. Hyde down even further.
120. Giovani Bernard: Down to the Bilal Powell RB tier. Bilal and Gio feel like similar values.
121. Jordan Reed: Up slightly. This feels like a good spot to take a chance on the injury-prone TE.
122. Trey Burton: Could be this year's Kelce/Ertz. Had to get him back up here, even with early bye.
123. Michael Gallup
124. Cameron Meredith
125. Calvin Ridley: Even in a keeper league, he felt too high in top-100. Julio/Sanu ahead of him.
126. Tyrell Williams
127. Matt Breida
128. Duke Johnson
129. Theo Riddick: SO many RBs in Detroit right now. Down a RB tier.
130. Paul Richardson
131. Kenny Golladay: Without a solid TE now, Golladay feels like option 3 or 4 in this offense. Up.
132. Geronimo Allison
133. Tyler Lockett
134. Jordan Matthews: Some of the worst hands in the NFL, but has Brady throwing to him. Up.
135. Kenneth Dixon
136. Corey Clement: Sproles re-signed and Clement down a RB tier.
137. Spencer Ware
138. Jared Goff: Moved him and Jimmy G down to this last QB tier.
139. Jimmy Garoppolo
140. Marcus Mariota: Got him and Mahomes into my top-150 and Matt Ryan/Alex Smith out of it. 
141. Patrick Mahomes
142. Austin Seferian-Jenkins: Down to the last TE tier before the Ds.
143. George Kittle: Added him to this TE tier. Feels safer than a guy like Eifert.
144. Charles Clay: I know he's old, but who else will catch balls in Buffalo? Should get targets. Up.
145. Chargers DEFENSE
146. Broncos DEFENSE
147. Jaguars DEFENSE
148. Ravens DEFENSE
149. Rams DEFENSE
150. Saints DEFENSE
151. Eagles DEFENSE
152. Vikings DEFENSE
153. Steelers DEFENSE
154. Patriots DEFENSE
155. Chiefs DEFENSE
156. Seahawks DEFENSE

Watch List:

QBs
Matt Ryan
Alex Smith
Ben Roethlisberger
Dak Prescott
Blake Bortles
Derek Carr
Jameis Winston: Bottom of the watch list. Will only draft him if also draft a QB with early bye.
RBs
Nyheim Hines: Down to the top of the watch list until this backfield gets sorted out.
Jordan Wilkins
Ty Montgomery
Doug Martin
Jalen Richard
DeAndre Washington
James White
Jeremy Hill
Kalen Ballage: Lots of hype around this rookie, so I added him to the watch list.
LeGarrette Blount
Ameer Abdullah
Latavius Murray
Samaje Perine
Charles Sims
Chris Carson
C.J. Prosise
Terrance West
Chris Ivory
James Conner
Javorius Allen
Austin Ekeler
John Kelly
Darren Sproles
Elijhaa Penny
T.J. Yeldon
Joe Williams
Alfred Morris
Orleans Darkwa
Eddie Lacy
WRs
Martavis Bryant: Too many question marks.  Down to the watch list.
Mohamed Sanu: Will lose targets to Ridley. Down to the watch list.
Albert Wilson: Added to the watch list. Could be #1 WR for Miami this year. Yes, really.
John Ross
Anthony Miller
Kevin White
Taylor Gabriel
Chris Godwin
DeSean Jackson
Ted Ginn
James Washington
Christian Kirk
J.J. Nelson
Brice Butler
Brandon Marshall
Jaron Brown
Terrelle Pryor
Quincy Enunwa
Jermaine Kearse
Malcolm Mitchell
Kenny Britt
Jeremy Maclin
Willie Snead
John Brown
Chester Rogers
Ryan Grant
Dontrelle Inman
Dede Westbrook
Keelan Cole
Donte Moncrief
D.J. Chark
Eric Decker
Travis Benjamin
Mike Wallace
Mack Hollins
Kendall Wright
Courtland Sutton
Deon Cain
Cole Beasley: The Cowboys lost over half of their targets from 2017. Beasley a sneaky late pick.

TEs
Tyler Eifert: His back issues concern me. Down to the watch list.
Mike Gesicki: And while I like his potential, he also belongs in the watch list. At least for now...
Hayden Hurst
Antonio Gates
Benjamin Watson
Jack Doyle
Eric Ebron
Austin Hooper
Rico Gathers
Blake Jarwin: Not sure who the TE to own in Dallas is, so added Jarwin too (for now).
David Njoku
Luke Willson
Nick Vannett
Vance McDonald: Added to the list, assuming he gets more playing time than Jesse James...
Clive Walford: A long shot to be a top-15 or so TE, but could be big target if Anderson misses time.
O.J. Howard: I definitely have too many TEs on this list, but Howard and Brate should be here.
Cameron Brate
Jake Butt: He belongs at the END of a list...ya know?

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