We're still a month away from a lot of fantasy football drafts, but...wait...we're
only a month away from a lot of fantasy football drafts?!? Woah. Yeah, it'll be Week 1 before you know it.
This isn't my "Catch-All Preseason Article...Spectacular", but it might be a little preview of that. In fact, I haven't decided yet, but I might break that out into multiple articles like in the olden times. We'll see. This is actually a new idea I had, and it will be a a not-so-brief look at all 32 teams through the lens of who I like in fantasy this season. I wanted to highlight one player from every team who I like the most based on his current ADP (Average Draft Position). So don't get this twisted and think I would draft Michael Gallup over Ezekiel Elliott. Elliott should absolutely be a first round pick - maybe even the #1 overall. Gallup should not be. But I don't have to tell you to draft Zeke in the first round or Michael Thomas in the 2nd. You know these guys. But I
am going to tell you to consider Gallup at the end of your drafts, and I'll have 31 other guys to talk about.
I'll be using ADP from
FantasyPros as my reference because not only do I really like that website for all things fantasy, but now I'm actually a part of their Expert Consensus Rankings! That's right. If you select your experts when looking at rankings, I'm there now! Pretty exciting, right? Well, it is for me. :)
Anyway, I'm not going to talk about every single player. I'll reference a few of the top guys who are actually being drafted in reasonably sized leagues, and like I said, I'll talk about one guy who I like the most from each team. I'll put the ADP in parentheses (as of this post - it'll change!) and put each guy I kind of like in bold/italics. Enough talk. Let's get to it!
AFC East
Buffalo Bills
LeSean McCoy (91)
Josh Allen (159)
Devin Singletary (164)
John Brown (189)
Robert Foster (221)
Let's start this thing off with a team that I hope to not have any players from in any drafts this year to be honest. The only guy I'm even considering for Buffalo right now at his ADP is Josh Allen. He nearly finished as a top-20 fantasy QB as a rookie, and that was only playing in 12 games (really 11 considering he didn't start in Week 1). If you extrapolate his roughly 19 fantasy points per game over 16 games, he would've had nearly another 100 fantasy points last season and finished as a top-12 QB. It's not always pretty, but he gets it done (especially with his legs). Only Lamar Jackson had more rushing yards than him last season (among QBs of course). I'll take that value in the later rounds for sure. Just don't watch the games.
Miami Dolphins
Kenyan Drake (54)
Kalen Ballage (175)
Devante Parker (192)
Kenny Stills (196)
Albert Wilson (225)
I know George W. Bush said there's an old saying Tennessee: "Fool me once, shame on...shame on you. Fool me...you can't get fooled again!" While I do feel that way with Devante Parker, I also don't feel great about any of his teammates. Sure, Kenyan Drake could have a fine season but I feel like his ADP is appropriate. I actually think Parker (and maybe even Albert Wilson) are great last round fliers at their current ADP. With a new coach and a new quarterback (or quarterbackS potentially), things could come together for the former first round draft pick. And if they don't? Drop him after the first month of the season. No big deal. With a different coaching staff and potentially Fitzmagic throwing him the ball, Parker could
finally realize his potential.
New England Patriots
Sony Michel (39)
Julian Edelman (40)
James White (60)
N'Keal Harry (98)
Tom Brady (116)
Damien Harris (143)
I feel like most of the Patriots have an inflated ADP, but I do like Damien Harris way down at 143. Sony Michel would be a great pick in the third or fourth round if his knee is fully healthy, but it's a concern. If he misses time this year, I could see Harris stepping right in and getting carries for this team. James White will be a huge asset in the passing game, but New England will run the ball too. Harris feels like the true handcuff to Michel, and his value is great in the 12th round. The Patriots have made a habit of making a late round fantasy pick into their best RB. This obviously happened with James White last year, but it was also true with guys like LeGarrette Blount and Dion Lewis. Don't let Damien Harris go undrafted in your league.
New York Jets
Le'Veon Bell (8)
Robby Anderson (80)
Chris Herndon (158)
Sam Darnold (183)
Jamison Crowder (219)
Wow. This division is rough outside of the Patriots. A lot of people like Robby Anderson to be the best WR of this bunch, and that's certainly likely. But at his ADP, I think Crowder is the much better value. He dealt with some injuries in his last season with the Redskins, but in 2016 & 2017 he averaged 818 receiving yards and 5 TDs. That would have basically been a top-30 WR last year. To get that in basically in the last round of a draft is a steal, and he could end up with the most targets on this team.
AFC North
Baltimore Ravens
Mark Ingram (41)
Ravens Defense (129)
Lamar Jackson (139)
Justice Hill (169)
Marquise Brown (178)
Mark Andrews (185)
Gus Edwards (229)
This is a tough one with it being so early in July. I wanted to go with Lamar Jackson for basically all of the same reasons I picked Josh Allen earlier, but I'll go with someone different. Hayden Hurst has shown his inability to get/stay on the football field, and Andrews actually finished as the #16 fantasy tight end as a rookie. He only had 50 targets in his first year in the league, but with John Brown and Michael Crabtree gone, there are a lot of targets up for grabs. And if you include the playoff game against the Chargers, he actually averaged 4.5 targets per game in his last four. If you don't snag one of the top 5 or 6 tight ends, Mark Andrews could be a guy that ends up in the top-12 by the end of the year.
Cincinnati Bengals
Joe Mixon (13)
A.J. Green (33)
Tyler Boyd (68)
Giovani Bernard (193)
Tyler Eifert (227)
Andy Dalton (230)
You thought I was only going to highlight guys in the later rounds, didn't you? Well, people have forgotten that A.J. Green has been a top-10 WR basically every year he's healthy. Will he stay healthy? I mean, I don't know. But if he does, he should absolutely be drafted before the third round. I think he's the best value on the Bengals, as I'm not buying Gio, Eifert, or Dalton.
Cleveland Browns
Odell Beckham, Jr. (16)
Nick Chubb (21)
Jarvis Landry (66)
Baker Mayfield (67)
David Njoku (88)
Kareem Hunt (96)
Browns Defense (147)
Duke Johnson (166)
Antonio Callaway (243)
First of all, let me say how ridiculous it is that Kareem Hunt is being drafted in the top-100. This guy is suspended for 8 games, and the Browns have a Week 7 bye. Hunt won't even be eligible to play until
Week 10. Do you think you're going to keep him on your fantasy team that long with all of those bye weeks? I don't care how deep your bench is. I don't see it happening. I struggled with the best value here because I feel like most of these players have pretty accurate ADPs. I like OBJ and Nick Chubb as top-10 guys at their position, and Baker has great breakout potential. But if I had to pick based on value versus ADP, I'd actually take Duke Johnson (who I have about 35 spots higher than his current ADP). I had him about 60 spots higher than his ADP when I started writing this article a couple of weeks ago, so maybe I'm onto something here. There's all of this talk in the offseason about him wanting to be traded and whatnot, and maybe that happens. But for now, he's a Brown. He'll be a complementary back to Chubb at least for the first 9 weeks of the season. He has a ton of talent, and even if he does somehow get traded before or during the season, that might actually be a good thing. Duke Johnson could be a decent FLEX play in what is expected to be a much improved offense.
Pittsburgh Steelers
James Conner (10)
JuJu Smith-Schuster (17)
Vance McDonald (86)
Jaylen Samuels (114)
Ben Roethlisberger (115)
James Washington (122)
Donte Moncrief (161)
Here's another team with pretty accurate ADPs. If anything they're inflated because the Steelers are such a popular team. That makes it hard to find value. I almost went with James Washington, who I currently have as a top-100 player. But it's hard to say right now who might have more value between him and Moncrief. But one thing I
do know is that JuJu has a legitimate shot to lead the league in targets this year. He had 166 targets last year, and Antonio Brown and his 168 targets are now in Oakland. JuJu finished as a top-10 WR last year as the #2 receiver in that offense. I don't see why he won't finish as a top-5 fantasy WR this season. He's being drafted in the second round but should absolutely be considered in the first.
AFC South
Houston Texans
DeAndre Hopkins (7)
Deshaun Watson (49)
Lamar Miller (70)
Will Fuller (82)
D'Onta Foreman (121)
Keke Coutee (137)
Texans Defense (146)
Deshaun Watson is the easy answer here because I think he's absolutely worthy of a high draft pick. After I get a couple of RBs and WRs on my team, I'd take him at the start of the 5th round. I wouldn't be surprised at all if he finishes as the #1 QB in fantasy this year. That being said, his ADP is right where I currently have him ranked. As for Keke Coutee, I actually have him inside my top-100 and ranked
ahead of teammate Will Fuller. Mike Clay of ESPN tweeted an interesting stat that Coutee played in 5 "full" games last season, and he had 50 targets to DeAndre's 47 in those games. If Fuller is healthy to start the season, that definitely throw's a slight wrench into this. But I just think Coutee might get more targets, catches, yards, etc. (than Fuller, not Hopkins). Because of that, I think he's the much better value a few rounds later.
Indianapolis Colts
T.Y. Hilton (25)
Marlon Mack (32)
Andrew Luck (46)
Eric Ebron (72)
Devin Funchess (123)
Parris Campbell (150)
Nyheim Hines (160)
Jack Doyle (209)
This is going to sound a lot like what I said about Keke Coutee with the Texans. Like Coutee, Doyle was only healthy for 5 games last season. During those games, Eric Ebron's snap count was below 50% in all of them. Doyle's snap count was above 75% in all of those games, and he actually saw nearly twice as many targets as Ebron (and more red zone targets). Give me all of the Jack Doyle this year (and probably none of Ebron at that high price tag).
Jacksonville Jaguars
Leonard Fournette (24)
Dede Westbrook (106)
Jags Defense (124)
Nick Foles (208)
Ryquell Armstead (218)
Marqise Lee (234)
D.J. Chark (291)
Not much to see here with Jacksonville, but if I was forced to draft someone other than Fournette in this offense, I'd definitely rather take a shot on Marqise Lee in the last round versus Dede in the 9th or 10th. Of course Lee is coming off a torn ACL, so if he isn't healthy to start the season, Dede's value might be decent there and D.J. Chark could even have value (especially since he's basically free as late as he's being drafted). For now I'll assume Marqise Lee is a starter in Week 1, and I'd at least consider him late in drafts if that's the case.
Tennessee Titans
Derrick Henry (31)
Corey Davis (93)
Delanie Walker (127)
Dion Lewis (138)
Adam Humphries (214)
Marcus Mariota (215)
A.J. Brown (223)
I was tempted to go with A.J. Brown here, as he just might be the most talented WR in this rookie class. But I'm not crazy about Tennessee as his landing spot, and his usage is still very TBD. I guess everyone's usage is a bit TBD with a new coaching staff, which is why I'm high on Dion Lewis. This is a guy who was a top-12 RB in New England in 2017. People were excited to draft him last season, but he didn't produce. I'm thinking maybe he'll be a little more involved this season, and I have him in my top-100. I wouldn't feel great about him in my FLEX spot to start the season, but he's definitely the kind of guy I'd want in my first bench spot.
AFC West
Denver Broncos
Phillip Lindsay (42)
Royce Freeman (94)
Courtland Sutton (103)
Emmanuel Sanders (112)
Noah Fant (167)
Broncos Defense (173)
DaeSean Hamilton (200)
I probably won't end up with any Broncos on my fantasy teams this year. I don't excpect Sanders to be fully healthy coming off a torn Achilles, and he'll likely be on my "do not draft list". I'm not sure how much I trust the other receivers with Flacco under center either. If anything, I think the Broncos could be good at running the football and controlling the clock. Their defense was a top-5 fantasy unit last season, and I have them ranked that way again this year. Their ADP is DST9, so I think they're potentially a decent value based on where they're going in drafts. They have a new coaching staff, but I see that as a good thing. Vic Fangio came over from Chicago (who had the top fantasy defense last season), and he brought along his defensive backs coach to be the DC. Kareem Jackson was a nice offseason acquisition, and this defense could easily be top-5 again.
Kansas City Chiefs
Travis Kelce (15)
Damien Williams (22)
Patrick Mahomes (23)
Tyreek Hill (52)
Sammy Watkins (63)
Carlos Hyde (111)
Mecole Hardman (113)
So, the obvious pick here is Tyreek Hill. As long as he's not suspended for 8+ games, I'm definitely drafting him before the 5th round. This guy was the #1 WR in fantasy last year and a top-5 WR the year before that. With Mahomes slinging the ball, there's no reason to think Tyreek won't be the best receiver in fantasy when he's actually on the field. But his status is very much up in the air right now, so his ADP obviously has that risk built in. If he's suspended for 4-6 games, he's still worthy of a 2nd or 3rd round pick. You can draft a RB and a WR in the first two rounds and then take a shot at the best WR in fantasy football after that. You're not going to be able to wait around until Round 5 to get Tyreek unless we know for a fact that he's out for a very long time this season. If you're drafting early, I say take the risk. You can always find a WR who can be serviceable for you for the first month of the season.
Oakland Raiders
Antonio Brown (20)
Josh Jacobs (37)
Tyrell Williams (154)
Derek Carr (174)
Jalen Richard (217)
We've seen a rookie finish as a top-5 fantasy RB each of the last four seasons: Todd Gurley (2015), Ezekiel Elliott (2016), Alvin Kamara
and Kareem Hunt (2017), & Saquon Barkley (2018). I realize Josh Jacobs isn't anywhere near a sure thing to finish as a top-5 fantasy RB, but he should have every opportunity to do it in Oakland's offense. He's probably being drafted right around where his ADP should be, but he certainly has the potential to return much better value than the 3rd/4th round.
Los Angeles Chargers
Melvin Gordon (5)
Keenan Allen (27)
Mike Williams (59)
Hunter Henry (62)
Philip Rivers (111)
Austin Ekeler (119)
Chargers Defense (131)
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I like a lot of these guys, but I also think they're being appropriately drafted. I actually
really like the Charger defense this year, as I have them right behind the Bears as my #2 unit. But I'd rather talk about a post-hype sleeper in Hunter Henry here. Not only did the Chargers lose Tyrell Williams to free agency, but Antonio Gates has finally retired too (or so they tell me). Hunter Henry has legitimate double digit touchdown potential, and I expect him to finish as a top-5 TE. I realize the 6th round feels a bit high for him, but I'd say he has better value than George Kittle at his current price.
NFC East
Dallas Cowboys
Ezekiel Elliott (2)
Amari Cooper (34)
Dak Prescott (132)
Michael Gallup (165)
Cowboys Defense (179)
Randall Cobb (202)
Jason Witten (231)
While Amari Cooper has said he wants to eclipse the 2,000 yard receiving mark in a season, I'd say that's highly unlikely. The Cowboys like to run the ball, and Dak Prescott hasn't thrown for 4,000+ yards in any of his three NFL seasons. If Dak has around 3800-4000 passing yards and Cooper has a career year, that likely means 1200-1500 receiving yards for Amari. Let's assume Zeke has about 500 receiving yards, which would still leave ~2000 yards for the rest of the RBs/WRs/TEs. I like Gallup to get a sizable chunk of that, and that's why I have him about 75 spots higher than the current ADP. In fact, when I started writing this article he was outside of the top-200 in ADP. Again, this makes me feel like I'm onto something, but we'll see. While he only had 33 catches for 507 yards and 2 scores as a rookie, Gallup should have more opportunity in his sophomore season. Cole Beasley is now in Buffalo, and you could say Cobb will fill that role. But Cobb has had a hard time staying on the field, and Allen Hurns will be returning from a nasty leg injury that ended his season last year. Gallup is someone who had 2,685 receiving yards and 21 receiving TDs in just two seasons at Colorado State. Don't wait til Year 3 for his breakout because I think it could come this season!
New York Giants
Saquon Barkley (1)
Evan Engram (58)
Sterling Shepard (92)
Golden Tate (108)
Eli Manning (237)
Outside of Saquon, I'm lower than all of these guys versus their ADP and I'm really struggling as to which WR to draft between Shepard and Tate. If I had to pick a value here, I guess I do like Evan Engram a bit this year. With OBJ off to the Browns, there are plenty of targets to fill and they won't all go to Golden Tate. Engram was a top-5 fantasy TE as a rookie, and much of that was due to OBJ being out due to injury. Last year he fell back to earth and finished as the TE13, in part due to some of his own injury issues. If Engram can stay on the field, he has the same top-5 upside he had in his rookie year. Like Hunter Henry, he's a tight end I'm targeting in the middle rounds of fantasy drafts.
Philadelphia Eagles
Zach Ertz (28)
Alshon Jeffery (74)
Miles Sanders (75)
Jordan Howard (83)
Carson Wentz (95)
DeSean Jackson (130)
Dallas Goedert (184)
Eagles Defense (186)
Nelson Agholor (233)
When you don't have a RB or WR until Alshon at #74, you know t
here's a ton of value with the Eagles based on ADP. I struggled with who to pick here because I like Nelson Agholor about 100 spots higher than his current ADP, but I think Carson Wentz will be an MVP candidate. I'm likely going to wait on QB because I like to pick RBs and WRs with my first few picks, but I might reach for Wentz after I get 5 or 6 position players. He was on pace to be the #1 or 2 fantasy QB in 2017 before tearing up his knee against the Rams in Week 14, and he still finished as a top-5 fantasy QB even though he only played in 13 games. He was understandably not a top fantasy QB last year coming off that serious injury, but now I think his ADP has fallen too far due to his various injuries. That's just fine with me. I'm assuming full health now that he's a year and a half removed from the torn ACL, and you could get one of the top fantasy QBs way later than I think he should be drafted.
Derrius Guice (64)
Adrian Peterson (117)
Jordan Reed (162)
Chris Thompson (213)
Dwayne Haskins (220)
It feels strange to not have any WRs listed here, but that's where we are with the Redskins in 2019. If you want to draft someone who has the potential to catch a lot of balls in this offense, why not Jordan Reed? Of course "injuries" is the answer to that somewhat rhetorical question, but it's not much of a risk with his ADP now nearly outside the top-20 fantasy TEs. When healthy, there aren't many tight ends in the league who have more upside than Jordan Reed. He's been a top-10 fantasy TE as recent as 2016 (in just 12 games), and he was the #3 fantasy TE the year before that (in 14 games). We all know the injury risk, but his value in fantasy drafts is actually great this year.
NFC North
Chicago Bears
David Montgomery (51)
Tarik Cohen (61)
Allen Robinson (79)
Bears Defense (90)
Trey Burton (134)
Mitch Trubisky (144)
Anthony Miller (157)
Mike Davis (170)
I want to get a piece of this offense, but the question is "what piece?". Allen Robinson was a top-5 fantasy WR in 2015, but he hasn't done a whole lot since then. Anthony Miller might be a good value that late at #157, but I'm not 100% sure that's where I want to invest my stock in Chicago. If I had to choose, I'd actually take Trubisky.
Everyone seems to expect Baker Mayfield to breakout and easily finish in the top-10 this year, but people are sleeping on Trubisky. Both of these guys played 14 games last season, and Trubisky actually had more fantasy points! He was a top-15 fantasy QB in his second year in the league, and he has great weapons to finish in the top-10 himself in Year 3. Right now he's being drafted as the QB19, so I think you're getting good value at that price.
Kerryon Johnson (38)
Kenny Golladay (45)
Marvin Jones (97)
T.J. Hockenson (140)
Matthew Stafford (171)
C.J. Anderson (176)
This is an easy one for me, as I have Marvin Jones 30 spots higher than his ADP and I'd much rather have him at his ADP than Golladay at his. Marvin Jones was a top-5 fantasy WR in 2017, and he was on pace for a good season last year before a knee injury in Week 10 cut his season short. He had at least 54 yards or a TD in every game last season but one (Week 7 in Miami). He provided good consistency when healthy, and he had double-digit standard scoring performances in a third of his games. He has great value at pick 97, and I'd likely take him earlier in my drafts.
Green Bay Packers
Davante Adams (9)
Aaron Jones (30)
Aaron Rodgers (55)
Geronimo Allison (118)
Marquez Valdes-Scantling (128)
Jimmy Graham (149)
Jamaal Williams (168)
Geronimo Allison basically only played in the month of September (4 games) last year due to various injuries, so his 303 yards and 2 TDs doesn't look like much without that context. If you extrapolate those stats to a full season though? We're talking about 1200 yards and 8 TDs! OK. I'm not saying Allison is going to do that this season, but I'm not NOT saying that. Randall Cobb is gone, and Davante Adams is basically the only proven wideout in Green Bay's offense. There's plenty of opportunity for Allison to become the #2 WR for Aaron Rodgers, and that's a good thing. Rodgers can support two high end fantasy WRs, and I'm thinking he might do that this year. I'll definitely own Allison if he falls to the double-digit rounds.
Minnesota Vikings
Dalvin Cook (19)
Adam Thielen (26)
Stefon Diggs (36)
Vikings Defense (141)
Kyle Rudolph (142)
Kirk Cousins (148)
Alexander Mattison (180)
Kirk Cousins finished as the QB13 last year, and he's being drafted like the QB20 in 2019. Did you realize last season was his worst finish as a starting QB in fantasy? Of course it was also his first season on a new team, but here were his finishes as Washington's starting QB: 8th (2015), 5th (2016), & 6th (2017). Do we really think Cousins will finish worse than 13th this year? It seems more likely he'll sneak back into the top-10, right? Yeah, I'm definitely waiting on QB this year...
NFC South
Atlanta Falcons
Julio Jones (11)
Devonta Freeman (29)
Calvin Ridley (57)
Matt Ryan (71)
Austin Hooper (119)
Ito Smith (133)
Mohamed Sanu (212)
Here's another team where I feel like the players are ranked appropriately for the most part, but I do have Ito Smith ranked about 20 spots higher than his current ADP. Tevin Coleman is gone, and Ito is the clear #2 RB in this offense. Not only should he get 10-12 touches per game, but he would be a legitimate RB1 candidate if Freeman were to miss time (which tends to, you know, happen). Like I said, all of these guys are ranked about where they should be, so this was a tough one to pick. I doubt I'll have Ito Smith in many leagues, but he feels like he has similar upside to a guy like Dion Lewis.
Carolina Panthers
Christian McCaffrey (3)
D.J. Moore (65)
Cam Newton (89)
Curtis Samuel (126)
Greg Olsen (155)
D.J. Moore is the likely pick for a breakout WR in this offense, but Curtis Samuel is not as far behind as his ADP would suggest. Based on Matt Harmon's Reception Perception analytics, it might actually be Samuel who is primed for a breakout. I feel like both are a bit of a roll of the dice, so the value to be had is certainly 60 picks later in a fantasy draft.
New Orleans Saints
Alvin Kamara (4)
Michael Thomas (12)
Jared Cook (73)
Drew Brees (77)
Latavius Murray (84)
Tre'Quan Smith (177)
I haven't done this yet, so I'll go ahead and say there's value in Alvin Kamara at ADP #4. I guess it's nitpicking, but I have him as my #2 overall player, and I think he's highly likely to finish #1. If #4 is his average, that means he's falling to #6/7/8 in drafts, and that shouldn't happen. With Mark Ingram gone, Latavius Murray will certainly have a role in this offense. But Kamara could have a very special Year 3 for New Orleans.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Mike Evans (18)
Chris Godwin (50)
O.J. Howard (56)
Ronald Jones (101)
Peyton Barber (107)
Jameis Winston (125)
This is a tough call in July because it's almost certain that either Jones or Barber will have value here, but it's hard to tell which one. I'm going to bet on the high draft pick with fresh legs. Bruce Arians has a track record of turning young guys into productive RBs, and I think he could do it with Ronald Jones. He didn't draft him, but I think he'll play him. We'll see what happens, but one of these guys is definitely a value outside of the top-100.
NFC West
Arizona Cardinals
David Johnson (6)
Christian Kirk (87)
Larry Fitzgerald (101)
Kyler Murray (102)
Andy Isabella (199)
Chase Edmonds (250)
Hakeem Butler (280)
I don't see Kirk or Fitz as big values where they are, especially considering the Cardinals drafted Isabella and Butler. But I don't see how Kyler Murray should be outside of the top-100 players in fantasy football this year, and I might need to move him up my rankings. He's currently going at the QB12, but if he runs like people think he can in the NFL, he could be the next Michael Vick. That's not hyperbole. He has legit top-5 upside in his rookie year with Kliff Kingbury as his head coach. It could be a match made in heaven.
Los Angeles Rams
Todd Gurley (14)
Brandin Cooks (43)
Robert Woods (44)
Cooper Kupp (48)
Darrell Henderson (81)
Jared Goff (99)
Rams Defense (106)
Well this is a tricky one, isn't it? I'd be fine getting any of those 3 WRs in the fourth round, and I think all are good picks at that ADP (appropriately valued). I'm not sure what to think about this whole Todd Gurley knee injury situation, but I'm having a hard time buying Darrell Henderson in the top-100 if Gurley is going to be an RB1. If anything, I think there could be value in getting
Gurley in the second round of drafts. He was the #1 RB in fantasy the last two years, and he was a top-5 RB as a rookie. He had a rough 2016, but otherwise he has been the best RB in fantasy his entire NFL career. Maybe his knee is messed up. Maybe he'll never be the same RB. I don't know. But if he's mostly healthy this year, you're getting a top-5 fantasy RB in the second round.
San Francisco 49ers
George Kittle (35)
Tevin Coleman (69)
Dante Pettis (85)
Jerick McKinnon (104)
Matt Breida (151)
Jimmy Garoppolo (152)
Marquise Goodwin (181)
Deebo Samuel (190)
I don't know how this backfield is going to shake out, but I definitely want some shares of Dante Pettis if he's nearly falling out of the top-100. The problem is, his ADP is going in the other direction. It was close to 100 when I started writing this article, and now it's 85. Ugh. Everyone chill! I want to draft this guy!! Why am I excited about a guy who wasn't a top-50 WR last year? Well, he was a rookie, he had scrub QBs throwing him the ball most of the season, and he only played in 12 games. He still managed almost 500 yards and found the endzone 5 times. With Garoppolo throwing it to him all season, Pettis could end up with 1000 yards and 8 TDs. I like him as a solid FLEX play and well worthy of a 6th or 7th round pick.
Seattle Seahawks
Chris Carson (47)
Tyler Lockett (54)
Russell Wilson (76)
Rashaad Penny (78)
D.K. Metcalf (109)
David Moore (253)
While I certainly like David Moore as a deep sleeper, I have Tyler Lockett as a 3rd round pick. So an ADP of 54 is tasty. I'll definitely be drafting Lockett in leagues this year if his ADP stays down there. With Doug Baldwin gone, Lockett is in a great position to be the man in Seattle. They definitely like to run the ball, but Russell is a playermaker...and so is Lockett. I like for him to potentially finish as a top-12 fantasy WR this season. And if you miss out on Lockett, then scoop up David Moore in the last round. He actually could end up with the most targets of any Seahawk receiver this season. That's crazy to get that outside of the top-250 with Russell F'ing Wilson throwing him the football!!
Cheers,
Bart
9.04 Carson Wentz
2.08 Patrick Mahomes
This guy's ADP feels a little out of hand right now. It's sitting at 80, which is right around Round 7 in a 12 team league. If more information comes out about Todd Gurley and he doesn't play a snap in camp or preseason, then sure, draft Henderson. But even then, I'm not sure Round 7 is appropriate. And for now, I'm assuming Gurley is not done playing football. I'm also not convinced Henderson is definitely the handcuff to Gurley. The Rams signed Malcolm Brown to a 2 year deal this offseason, and he just might be the backup. This feels like a bad pick this early.
13.04 Greg Olsen
