3.Cam Newton
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15.Ben Roethlisberger
Well, last week I was wrong about being down on Andy Dalton (ESPN #8, ME #13), as he finished as a top-5 fantasy QB. I was right in saying the Cardinals would hand the Bengals back-to-back losses, but "Bad Andy" didn't show up in prime time. I'm hoping Bad Andy shows up against the Rams this week because I'll be facing him in my money league in a MUST-WIN game! I was high on Marcus Mariota (ESPN #18, ME #12), and while he didn't finish as a QB1 on Thursday night, he did finish higher than the ESPN experts had him ranked (he finished 14th). Like I said, if you had someone like Brees/BigBen/Eli as your regular QB (and on a bye), you could have done a lot worse than Mariota in Week 11. I wanted to rank him (along with fellow rookie Jameis Winston) this week, but both were just on the outside of my top-15. But hey, they're in good company with the likes of Tony Romo (I sure hope I'm right and the Panthers shut him and the Cowboys down tomorrow!).
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I'm high on: Derek Carr (ESPN 15, ME #7)
I guess the ESPN experts can't forgive ONE bad game like I can! Prior to last week's stinker in Detroit, Derek Carr was averaging 300 yards and 3 TDs in his previous 4 games. Heck, even if you include his zero-TD performance in Week 11, he has still been a top-5 fantasy QB in his last 5 contests. I say roll him out there against the Titans this week with confidence.
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Logic says to start Brady, but I'm not gonna! |
I'm down on: Tom Brady (ESPN #4, ME #8)
This is crazy, right? Tell me I'm crazy. I know, I'm probably crazy. A couple of weeks ago, I made a trade to get Brady on my squad in my money league. After losing Dion Lewis and Edelman (and now likely Amendola for at least this week), Tommy Boy finds himself in a tough spot in Denver. The Bronco defense has shut down top QBs before, and I could see that happening again on Sunday night. I'm going to try to put my money where my mouth is and hopefully have the guts to start Brian Hoyer instead of Brady this week. Maybe it's crazy, but I just trust guys like Carr and Hoyer more than Tom Brady in Week 12!
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RBs |
1.Adrian Peterson
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2.Todd Gurley
3.Devonta Freeman
4.Doug Martin
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5.Mark Ingram
6.Darren McFadden
7.Jonathan Stewart
8.DeMarco Murray
9.Chris Johnson
10.LeSean McCoy
11.Thomas Rawls
12.Chris Ivory
13.TJ Yeldon
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14.Javorius Allen
15.LeGarrette Blount
16.Matt Forte
17.Lamar Miller
18.Spencer Ware
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19.Eddie Lacy
20.Latavius Murray
21.DeAngelo Williams
22.Giovani Bernard
23.Frank Gore
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24.Ronnie Hillman
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25.Alfred Blue
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26.Antonio Andrews
27.Jeremy Hill
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28.Danny Woodhead
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29.Matt Jones
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30.Shaun Draughn
31.Jeremy Langford
32.Rashad Jennings
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33.Melvin Gordon
34.James White
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35.James Starks
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So I was WAY off on my RBs last week. I was high on DeMarco Murray (ESPN #11, ME #4), but he actually finished outside of the top-25 RBs in Week 11. And I was down on Eddie Lacy, who actually finished as a top-20 RB! The ESPN experts only ranked him 33rd, but I still was talking trash about even ranking him. He got 22 carries and racked up 100 yards on the ground versus the Vikings. Is he "back"? Your guess is as good as mine. This week I've moved him well ahead of James Starks, but I guess we'll see what happens tomorrow night.
Speaking of this week, you'll notice I didn't rank Charcandrick West. It seems like hamstring injuries tend to keep guys out a week or two, so I feel like Spencer Ware could get the start against Buffalo. I also didn't rank Carlos Hyde, as I don't see why the 49ers would rush him back in a now-meaningless game in this lost season for San Fran. I did rank Matt Forte, but it's possible he misses another game on a short week. Keep an eye on that tomorrow after you're done eating turkey, but if he doesn't play then you're probably going to keep rolling Langford out there against Green Bay. I also ranked Frank Gore, and I'm hoping his quad injury doesn't keep him out against Tampa Bay. If it does, Ahmad Bradshaw would immediately be in my top-35 (probably right where Gore is now actually).
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It's Buck Allen time! |
I'm high on: Javorius Allen (ESPN #21, ME #14)
When Justin Forsett left the game last week with a broken arm, Javorius Allen came in and gained 115 total yards on 27 touches. And that was against a good Rams defense. This week the Ravens face the Browns on Monday night, and Cleveland has given up the 5th most fantasy points to opposing running backs this season. It's possible that other RBs get in the mix, but I like for Allen to get 20 plus touches and tally over 100 yards and a TD against the Browns.
I'm down on: DeAngelo Williams (ESPN #12, ME #21)
In Week 9, DeAngelo ran all over the Raiders (and against my fantasy team in my money league). But then in Week 10, he came back down to earth against the Browns. Yes, the same Browns run defense that gets torched by most opponents as I mentioned above. This week, the Steelers travel to Seattle to face a defense giving up the FEWEST fantasy points to opposing RBs, and I don't like him nearly as much as the ESPN experts do.
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WRs
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1.DeAndre Hopkins
2.Odell Beckham, Jr.
3.Julio Jones
4.Antonio Brown
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5.Allen Robinson
6.Calvin Johnson
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7.Larry Fitzgerald
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8.Mike Evans
9.Dez Bryant
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10.Demaryius Thomas
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11.Brandon Marshall
12.AJ Green
13.Brandin Cooks
14.Randall Cobb
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15.Eric Decker
16.Amari Cooper
17.Martavis Bryant
18.Michael Crabtree
19.Allen Hurns
20.Travis Benjamin
21.Jarvis Landry
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22.TY Hilton
23.Stevie Johnson
24.John Brown
25.Sammy Watkins
26.Vincent Jackson
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27.Brandon LaFell
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28.Stefon Diggs
29.DeSean Jackson
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30.Jordan Matthews
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31.James Jones
34.Jeremy Maclin
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Week 11 was mostly bad all around for me, as I was wrong about my WR picks too. I was high on Stefon Diggs (ESPN #28, ME #19), but he finished outside of the top-25 WRs. I said he would get 10+ balls thrown his way against the Packers and he'd turn that into double-digit fantasy points. Well I was close, as he had 9 targets but only hauled in 6 of them for 66 yards. The thing is, guys like Megatron and Fitgerald had similar numbers in Week 11, but those guys are both in everyone's top-10s this week. We'll see what happens, but I wouldn't give up on Diggs just yet. I was down on Danny Amendola (ESPN #16, ME #26), but he had 9 catches for 117 yards on his way to a top-12 finish in Week 11. He actually should have had more, but an inadvertent whistle from the refs cut one of his big gains short. He also left the game early with an injury, and I doubt he plays this week in Denver.
Not only did I not rank Amendola this week, but I also didn't rank Alshon Jeffery or Emmanuel Sanders. I agree with ESPN that both are top-20 fantasy plays if they're healthy, so I wanted to make that clear in case you were looking for them above! Michael Floyd didn't make my top-35 either, but if he manages to be healthy (and active) this week, I'd like him as a top-25 play along with John Brown.
I'm high on: Travis Benjamin (ESPN #29, ME #20)
I'm high on Stefon Diggs again, but I'll give you someone different this week. Benjamin seems a bit risky to be high on, considering Weeks 7-9 he had a combined 7.5 fantasy points. But before Cleveland's bye week, he had 7 catches for 113 yards against the Steelers. This week he faces another division foe, but the Ravens are giving up the 3rd most fantasy points to WRs this year. I think Josh McCown will quickly reconnect with his favorite receiver, and Travis Benjamin could be in for a big day.
I'm down on: Jeremy Maclin (ESPN #26, ME #34)
Alex Smith doesn't like throwing to his WRs. Jeremy Maclin doesn't have more than 6 targets in a game since Week 5, and he hasn't scored double-digit fantasy points since Week 4! The Bills don't exactly shut down the passing game, but Alex Smith kind of does...
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TEs
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1.Rob Gronkowski
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2.Greg Olsen
3.Tyler Eifert
4.Delanie Walker
5.Gary Barnidge
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6.Jordan Reed
7.Antonio Gates
8.Travis Kelce
9.Jason Witten
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10.Zach Miller
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Hey! Play me! Play me! |
Last week I was high on Eric Ebron (ESPN #12, ME #7) and down on Antonio Gates (ESPN #5, ME #9). Well, I was 1 for 2 there because they both stunk! Ebron did drop an easy TD in the endzone, so I was close on that call. But otherwise he did literally nothing that amounted to a stat line. I'm talking a big fat zero, folks! Gates didn't do much better though, as the Chiefs continue to concede very little to the tight end position. I'm still not sure Gates is 100% healthy, but I have him and a gimpy Jordan Reed both in my top-10 anyway. I finally removed Jimmy Graham from my top-10 though. I just couldn't do it this week. I feel like if you want to roll with someone like Ben Watson or even Brent Celek out there this week, I understand. Zach Ertz is out for tomorrow's game in Detroit, and Celek has looked good with Mark Sanchez under center. Personally, I'll likely be starting Zach Miller, who will be starting for the injured Martellus Bennett tomorrow in Green Bay. I guess I'm high on him versus the ESPN experts this week, but otherwise my rankings are pretty much the same. |
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DEF
1.Cardinals
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2.Chiefs
3.Bengals
4.Panthers
5.Patriots
6.Seahawks
7.Jets
8.Packers
9.Broncos
10.Giants
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I was also 1 for 2 on my defense picks last week versus the ESPN experts. I was high on the Chiefs (ESPN #11, ME #7), and they were the top fantasy defense in Week 11. I was down on the Packers (ESPN #9, ME NOT RANKED), but they were all over Bridgewater and the Vikings on Sunday. They finished as a top-10 fantasy defense, and I've moved them into my top-10 this week against Cutler and the Bears.
I'm high on: Giants (ESPN #22, ME #10)
Do you remember what they did against Washington in Week 3? Because I sure do. They've been a top-12 fantasy defense in their last 5 games, and they're coming off their bye week. I hope I'm wrong because I'd love to see my team win big, but I'm trying to be a little realistic here.
I'm down on: Rams (ESPN #9, ME NOT RANKED)
Don't get me wrong. This is a good defense. But they're also facing a Bengals team coming off their second loss in a row after starting the year 8-0. Aside from recent games against the Texans and Steelers, the Bengals are averaging over 30 points per game this season. I think they'll put up plenty of points in this one, and St. Louis could have a hard time in Cincy this week.
Good luck to everyone in Week 12!
(Except you, Andy...)
Cheers,
Bart
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